TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11817697
Played Apr 30Finished
Pavel Petr
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116116––––
Ivo Zikmund
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingPavel Petr above · Ivo Zikmund below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 50 set 3, 11-6
50 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Petr 5–4 Ivo Zikmund Ivo Zikmund has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Petr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zikmund form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetr 1.80 / Zikmund 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Petr)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11817697
The market does not separate these two
1.80 against 1.91 — a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here — the price is the datum.
Petr1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Zikmund1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePetr5wins
AwayZikmund4wins
Petr leads 5–4.
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petr5Zikmund4n = 9Petr took 5 of 9
S2Petr4Zikmund5n = 9Zikmund took 5 of 9
S3Petr5Zikmund4n = 9Petr took 5 of 9
S4Petr5Zikmund3n = 8Petr took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricPetrZikmundP − ZBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match39.338.1+1.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetrZikmundBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 160 vs 70 / 14149.4%49.7%79 / 160 vs 70 / 141Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetrPetr 1.80/Zikmund 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Petr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Petr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
L—P. Petr—1I. Zikmund—3
L—P. Petr—1I. Zikmund—3
W—P. Petr—1I. Zikmund—3
W—P. Petr—1I. Zikmund—3
W—P. Petr—2I. Zikmund—3
W—P. Petr—1I. Zikmund—3
L—P. Petr—2I. Zikmund—3
W—P. Petr—3I. Zikmund—0
L—P. Petr—1I. Zikmund—3
P. Petr10
WAug 21 · 08:58P. Petr1.441111113P. Serak2.638490LAug 21 · 08:00A. Tkachenko2.10111111113P. Petr1.67491371LAug 21 · 07:00J. Strnad1.911114113P. Petr1.8061250WAug 21 · 06:30P. Petr1.44881111113P. Serak2.6311118942WAug 18 · 09:30P. Petr1.9111129113J. Strnad1.807101161WAug 18 · 08:30P. Petr1.831611113J. Koch1.8314880WAug 18 · 07:00P. Petr1.61111129113V. Kubat2.2079111172WAug 18 · 06:00J. Strnad1.57126111172P. Petr2.25141194113WAug 11 · 13:28J. Strnad1.50119111572P. Petr2.50711517113LAug 11 · 12:00J. Strnad1.501615113P. Petr2.50141390
I. Zikmund10
LJun 15 · 09:08I. Zikmund1.91781681V. Kubat1.80111114113LJun 15 · 08:00J. Strnad1.611111113I. Zikmund2.208740WJun 15 · 07:00V. Kubat1.536880I. Zikmund2.381111113WJun 15 · 06:30I. Zikmund3.759111011113M. Smesny1.2511912582LMay 29 · 09:00P. Potmesil1.509131110123I. Zikmund2.501111912102WMay 29 · 08:30I. Zikmund2.501112113P. Serak1.5041060LMay 29 · 07:00I. Zikmund2.10511971P. Potmesil1.6711511113LMay 29 · 06:00L. Novotny1.5311136113I. Zikmund2.386111121LApr 30 · 08:59P. Petr1.44111112113I. Zikmund2.63561441WApr 30 · 07:30I. Zikmund2.75911116113L. Novotny1.4011651182
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