TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11956248
Played May 29Finished
Ivo Zikmund
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511115911711––
Pavel Potmesil
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingIvo Zikmund above · Pavel Potmesil below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 65 set 4, 7-11
65 points drawn · the score is 5 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Ivo Zikmund 1–4 Pavel Potmesil Ivo Zikmund has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Potmesil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Potmesil form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZikmund 2.10 / Potmesil 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Potmesil)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11956248
Zikmund2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog48% won 20 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back35% 9 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Potmesil1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 8 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeZikmund1wins
AwayPotmesil4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderPotmesil leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZikmund33.3%1 of 3
AwayPotmesiln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zikmund3Potmesil2n = 5Zikmund took 3 of 5
S2Zikmund1Potmesil4n = 5Potmesil took 4 of 5
S3Zikmund2Potmesil3n = 5Potmesil took 3 of 5
S4Zikmund2Potmesil3n = 5Potmesil took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away360%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricZikmundPotmesilZ − PBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match40.242.4−2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikmundPotmesilBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 148 vs 20 / 4048.7%50%72 / 148 vs 20 / 40Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.139.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PotmesilZikmund 2.10/Potmesil 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.8%
Potmesil · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Potmesil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LMay 29 · 09:00I. Zikmund—2P. Potmesil—3
LMay 29 · 07:00I. Zikmund—1P. Potmesil—3
WApr 21 · 06:30I. Zikmund—3P. Potmesil—1
LMar 31 · 09:00I. Zikmund—1P. Potmesil—3
LMar 31 · 06:00I. Zikmund—1P. Potmesil—3
I. Zikmund10
LJun 15 · 09:08I. Zikmund1.91781681V. Kubat1.80111114113LJun 15 · 08:00J. Strnad1.611111113I. Zikmund2.208740WJun 15 · 07:00V. Kubat1.536880I. Zikmund2.381111113WJun 15 · 06:30I. Zikmund3.759111011113M. Smesny1.2511912582LMay 29 · 09:00P. Potmesil1.509131110123I. Zikmund2.501111912102WMay 29 · 08:30I. Zikmund2.501112113P. Serak1.5041060LMay 29 · 06:00L. Novotny1.5311136113I. Zikmund2.386111121LApr 30 · 08:59P. Petr1.44111112113I. Zikmund2.63561441LApr 30 · 08:30P. Petr1.801111113I. Zikmund1.915660WApr 30 · 07:30I. Zikmund2.75911116113L. Novotny1.4011651182
P. Potmesil10
LAug 22 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.6011118113P. Potmesil2.20461151WAug 22 · 08:30P. Potmesil1.671111113J. Koch2.101690WAug 22 · 07:00P. Potmesil1.67771111113P. Serak2.1011117972LAug 22 · 06:00A. Tkachenko1.831111113P. Potmesil1.834790LAug 10 · 08:58V. Kubat1.5011115113P. Potmesil2.50781181LAug 10 · 08:00J. Strnad2.0011911113P. Potmesil1.73611191LAug 10 · 07:00V. Kubat1.6711711113P. Potmesil2.10611741LAug 10 · 06:30P. Potmesil2.2058110A. Hejduk1.611111133LJul 27 · 09:30P. Potmesil1.283590A. Tkachenko3.501111113WMay 29 · 09:00P. Potmesil1.509131110123I. Zikmund2.501111912102
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