TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykyta Zavada vs Oleksandr Shkurupii 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Jun 10Finished
Mykyta Zavada
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11910121141311––
Oleksandr Shkurupii
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMykyta Zavada above · Oleksandr Shkurupii below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 81 set 4, 13-11
81 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Zavada 38–29 Oleksandr Shkurupii Oleksandr Shkurupii has won 29 of their 67 meetings.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Zavada)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shkurupii form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZavada 1.50 / Shkurupii 2.50
Signal prob.71% / 30%
Edge (Zavada)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12015058
Zavada1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 75 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it97% 38 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it91% 58 of 64
Shkurupii2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZavada6wins
AwayShkurupii4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZavada leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZavada83.3%5 of 6
AwayShkurupii75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zavada6Shkurupii4n = 10Zavada took 6 of 10
S2Zavada4Shkurupii6n = 10Shkurupii took 6 of 10
S3Zavada7Shkurupii3n = 10Zavada took 7 of 10
S4Zavada3Shkurupii3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZavadaShkurupiiZ − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.435.4+1.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZavadaShkurupiiBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 565 vs 490 / 100249.2%48.9%278 / 565 vs 490 / 1002Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavadaZavada 1.50/Shkurupii 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.5%
Zavada · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zavada won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 9 · 16:00M. Zavada4311121461O. Shkurupii50131412113
WJun 9 · 13:30M. Zavada331111113O. Shkurupii249870
LJun 2 · 12:30M. Zavada3811711452O. Shkurupii45911311113
WMay 25 · 16:00M. Zavada4211119113O. Shkurupii36981181
WMay 25 · 13:30M. Zavada4211911113O. Shkurupii27811441
WMay 20 · 15:00M. Zavada52811129123O. Shkurupii511191011102
WMay 20 · 14:00M. Zavada3912511113O. Shkurupii361011961
LMay 19 · 16:00M. Zavada163850O. Shkurupii331111113
WMay 18 · 16:00M. Zavada331111113O. Shkurupii177550
LMay 18 · 13:30M. Zavada2687110O. Shkurupii351111133
M. Zavada10
WJul 4 · 17:09D. Neborak3.2511851182M. Zavada1.33911113113WJul 4 · 16:30M. Zavada1.25111179113D. Neborak3.7587111192WJul 4 · 15:30M. Zavada1.57101111133O. Bondarchuk2.251288111WJul 4 · 14:00M. Zavada1.501111133A. Tkachenko2.5068110WJul 4 · 13:00M. Zavada1.67111111113I. Hermakivskyi2.10791391WJun 20 · 11:50M. Zavada1.531111133O. Shkurupii2.3886110WJun 20 · 10:20M. Zavada1.281316113O. Belskyi3.50111430WJun 20 · 08:50M. Zavada1.2511811113D. Neborak3.75411281WJun 20 · 07:20M. Zavada1.369111011123N. Petukh3.00117126102LJun 20 · 05:50M. Zavada1.443640O. Bondarchuk2.631111113
O. Shkurupii10
WSep 13 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.28109111172O. Shkurupii3.50121165113WSep 13 · 08:30D. Neborak2.2091180O. Shkurupii1.611113113LSep 13 · 07:30O. Shkurupii2.508311131S. Hohenko1.5011119153LSep 13 · 06:30S. Hohenko1.501191110113O. Shkurupii2.5061171252LSep 13 · 06:00O. Shkurupii1.61119101142D. Neborak2.20811123113LSep 13 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.50451161O. Zhurba1.2811117113LSep 12 · 17:21A. Tur2.6396111363O. Shkurupii1.44111191132LSep 12 · 16:00O. Shkurupii1.73851151A. Tur2.0011118113LJun 20 · 11:50M. Zavada1.531111133O. Shkurupii2.3886110WJun 19 · 21:50O. Shkurupii2.381111113M. Zavada1.534980
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