TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Neborak vs Ivan Arkhipov 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played May 23Finished
Dmytro Neborak
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119114––––
Ivan Arkhipov
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingDmytro Neborak above · Ivan Arkhipov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 55 set 3, 11-4
55 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Neborak 39–45 Ivan Arkhipov Dmytro Neborak has won 39 of their 84 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Arkhipov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neborak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeborak 2.10 / Arkhipov 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Arkhipov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #11930143
Neborak2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 102 of 329
Down 0–1, comes back17% 37 of 216
Down 0–2, comes back8% 11 of 131
Arkhipov1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 54 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it86% 36 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNeborak4wins
AwayArkhipov6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderArkhipov leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeborak80%4 of 5
AwayArkhipov100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neborak5Arkhipov5n = 10split evenly
S2Neborak3Arkhipov7n = 10Arkhipov took 7 of 10
S3Neborak7Arkhipov3n = 10Neborak took 7 of 10
S4Neborak2Arkhipov6n = 8Arkhipov took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNeborakArkhipovN − ABasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.938.9−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeborakArkhipovBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 1008 vs 221 / 48039.3%46%396 / 1008 vs 221 / 480Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ArkhipovNeborak 2.10/Arkhipov 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Arkhipov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Neborak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 23 · 07:50D. Neborak—3I. Arkhipov—0
LMay 22 · 17:50D. Neborak—0I. Arkhipov—3
LApr 18 · 08:30D. Neborak—1I. Arkhipov—3
WApr 2 · 17:50D. Neborak—3I. Arkhipov—1
WMar 28 · 09:20D. Neborak—3I. Arkhipov—2
LMar 27 · 17:50D. Neborak—2I. Arkhipov—3
LMar 6 · 21:20D. Neborak—1I. Arkhipov—3
WFeb 28 · 08:20D. Neborak—3I. Arkhipov—1
LFeb 27 · 20:50D. Neborak—1I. Arkhipov—3
LFeb 21 · 09:50D. Neborak—1I. Arkhipov—3
D. Neborak10
LSep 22 · 10:35D. Neborak4.00891481I. Kozachuk1.22111112113LSep 22 · 09:05D. Neborak3.757930D. Pesternikov1.251111113WSep 22 · 07:35D. Neborak3.0061111133S. Rak1.361148111WSep 22 · 06:05D. Neborak3.0011711113D. Shcherbak1.36511891LSep 22 · 04:35D. Neborak1.73124891I. Romaniak2.00101111113WSep 21 · 18:35D. Pesternikov1.17811781D. Neborak4.5011911113WSep 21 · 17:35I. Romaniak1.83142120D. Neborak1.831611143LSep 21 · 16:05I. Kozachuk1.28111168113D. Neborak3.5099111192WSep 21 · 14:05S. Rak1.366711121D. Neborak3.0011115143LSep 21 · 12:05D. Shcherbak1.501111113D. Neborak2.507570
I. Arkhipov10
WMay 23 · 12:20O. Bondarchuk1.911210911102I. Arkhipov1.801012119123LMay 23 · 11:20N. Petukh1.671111117113I. Arkhipov2.1051361172LMay 23 · 09:50R. Zholubak1.30111110113I. Arkhipov3.40841231WMay 23 · 05:50O. Ivchuk2.257119101I. Arkhipov1.5711911123WMay 22 · 20:50I. Arkhipov1.80111111113O. Bondarchuk1.91751331LMay 22 · 19:20I. Arkhipov3.256860R. Zholubak1.331111113WMay 22 · 17:50I. Arkhipov1.671111113D. Neborak2.105470LMay 22 · 16:20I. Arkhipov2.10911131162N. Petukh1.67115159113WMay 22 · 14:50I. Arkhipov1.731111113O. Ivchuk2.005680WMay 2 · 11:50O. Zhurba1.405860I. Arkhipov2.751111103
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.