TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Nazar Petukh vs Ivan Arkhipov 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played May 23Finished
Nazar Petukh
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151113116711117
Ivan Arkhipov
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingNazar Petukh above · Ivan Arkhipov below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 93 set 5, 11-7
93 points played in total.
H2H Nazar Petukh 12–4 Ivan Arkhipov Ivan Arkhipov has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Petukh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petukh form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetukh 1.67 / Arkhipov 2.10
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Petukh)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #11930369
Petukh1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite52% won 49 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it79% 33 of 42
Arkhipov2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 28 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back13% 6 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePetukh8wins
AwayArkhipov2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPetukh leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetukh100%6 of 6
AwayArkhipov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petukh6Arkhipov4n = 10Petukh took 6 of 10
S2Petukh4Arkhipov6n = 10Arkhipov took 6 of 10
S3Petukh9Arkhipov1n = 10Petukh took 9 of 10
S4Petukh3Arkhipov4n = 7Arkhipov took 4 of 7
S5Petukh4Arkhipov0n = 4Petukh took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPetukhArkhipovP − ABasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.736.0+2.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetukhArkhipovBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 252 vs 220 / 47841.7%46%105 / 252 vs 220 / 478Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetukhPetukh 1.67/Arkhipov 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.8%
Petukh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Petukh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 22 · 16:20N. Petukh—3I. Arkhipov—2
WMar 28 · 10:50N. Petukh—3I. Arkhipov—0
WMar 27 · 19:50N. Petukh—3I. Arkhipov—0
LFeb 21 · 06:50N. Petukh—1I. Arkhipov—3
WFeb 20 · 22:20N. Petukh—3I. Arkhipov—1
LFeb 20 · 17:20N. Petukh—1I. Arkhipov—3
WFeb 14 · 12:20N. Petukh—3I. Arkhipov—0
WFeb 13 · 18:20N. Petukh—3I. Arkhipov—2
WFeb 7 · 08:20N. Petukh—3I. Arkhipov—2
WFeb 6 · 18:20N. Petukh—3I. Arkhipov—2
N. Petukh10
WJun 27 · 11:20D. Neborak1.67611461N. Petukh2.1011911113WJun 27 · 10:49N. Petukh4.0051111113O. Zhurba1.22118671WJun 27 · 07:50O. Bondarchuk1.671169101N. Petukh2.1021111123WJun 27 · 05:50A. Tkachenko1.839530N. Petukh1.831111113LJun 26 · 20:20O. Zhurba1.171111113N. Petukh4.506480WJun 26 · 18:50V. Levshyn1.226760N. Petukh4.001111113LJun 26 · 17:20D. Neborak1.731113113N. Petukh2.0071180LJun 26 · 16:20O. Bondarchuk1.731112113N. Petukh2.0031070LJun 23 · 17:30N. Petukh1.919680D. Neborak1.801111113LJun 23 · 16:30N. Petukh4.008670O. Zhurba1.221111113
I. Arkhipov10
WMay 23 · 12:20O. Bondarchuk1.911210911102I. Arkhipov1.801012119123LMay 23 · 09:50R. Zholubak1.30111110113I. Arkhipov3.40841231LMay 23 · 07:50D. Neborak2.101111113I. Arkhipov1.679940WMay 23 · 05:50O. Ivchuk2.257119101I. Arkhipov1.5711911123WMay 22 · 20:50I. Arkhipov1.80111111113O. Bondarchuk1.91751331LMay 22 · 19:20I. Arkhipov3.256860R. Zholubak1.331111113WMay 22 · 17:50I. Arkhipov1.671111113D. Neborak2.105470LMay 22 · 16:20I. Arkhipov2.10911131162N. Petukh1.67115159113WMay 22 · 14:50I. Arkhipov1.731111113O. Ivchuk2.005680WMay 2 · 11:50O. Zhurba1.405860I. Arkhipov2.751111103
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