TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Ivchuk vs Ivan Arkhipov 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played May 23Finished
Oleksandr Ivchuk
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111199111012––
Ivan Arkhipov
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingOleksandr Ivchuk above · Ivan Arkhipov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 80 set 4, 10-12
80 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ivchuk 3–7 Ivan Arkhipov Oleksandr Ivchuk has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Arkhipov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivchuk form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvchuk 2.25 / Arkhipov 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Arkhipov)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #11930289
Ivchuk2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog17% won 5 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back5% 1 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Arkhipov1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 52 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvchuk3wins
AwayArkhipov7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderArkhipov leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvchuk60%3 of 5
AwayArkhipov100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivchuk5Arkhipov5n = 10split evenly
S2Ivchuk4Arkhipov6n = 10Arkhipov took 6 of 10
S3Ivchuk2Arkhipov8n = 10Arkhipov took 8 of 10
S4Ivchuk1Arkhipov5n = 6Arkhipov took 5 of 6
S5Ivchuk2Arkhipov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvchukArkhipovI − ABasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.840.4−8.6per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvchukArkhipovBasisWin rate · lifetime511 / 727 vs 219 / 47570.3%46.1%511 / 727 vs 219 / 475Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ArkhipovIvchuk 2.25/Arkhipov 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.9%
Arkhipov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Arkhipov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 22 · 14:50O. Ivchuk—0I. Arkhipov—3
WApr 2 · 19:50O. Ivchuk—3I. Arkhipov—2
LMar 28 · 11:50O. Ivchuk—0I. Arkhipov—3
LMay 22 · 10:40O. Ivchuk—0I. Arkhipov—3
WApr 4 · 05:05O. Ivchuk—3I. Arkhipov—1
LApr 3 · 17:10O. Ivchuk—2I. Arkhipov—3
WMar 28 · 10:05O. Ivchuk—3I. Arkhipov—2
LMar 27 · 18:40O. Ivchuk—2I. Arkhipov—3
LFeb 8 · 09:30O. Ivchuk—1I. Arkhipov—3
LFeb 7 · 14:10O. Ivchuk—0I. Arkhipov—3
O. Ivchuk10
LSep 18 · 12:20O. Ivchuk4.004890O. Bondarchuk1.221111113LSep 18 · 10:20O. Pavlyuk2.2512118113O. Ivchuk1.571081191WSep 18 · 09:20O. Ivchuk1.831011119113D. Neborak1.8312791192LSep 18 · 08:20O. Zhurba1.2013119113O. Ivchuk4.331151151LSep 17 · 18:30O. Ivchuk1.839840I. Hermakivskyi1.831111113WSep 17 · 16:30D. Neborak1.83117591O. Ivchuk1.8351111113LSep 17 · 15:30O. Ivchuk3.756690O. Bondarchuk1.251111113LSep 17 · 14:30O. Zhurba1.40981114113O. Ivchuk2.75111131272LSep 17 · 13:00O. Ivchuk1.6111119832O. Pavlyuk2.20691111113WAug 21 · 17:44O. Ivchuk1.83211119133D. Neborak1.83118711112
I. Arkhipov10
WMay 23 · 12:20O. Bondarchuk1.911210911102I. Arkhipov1.801012119123LMay 23 · 11:20N. Petukh1.671111117113I. Arkhipov2.1051361172LMay 23 · 09:50R. Zholubak1.30111110113I. Arkhipov3.40841231LMay 23 · 07:50D. Neborak2.101111113I. Arkhipov1.679940WMay 22 · 20:50I. Arkhipov1.80111111113O. Bondarchuk1.91751331LMay 22 · 19:20I. Arkhipov3.256860R. Zholubak1.331111113WMay 22 · 17:50I. Arkhipov1.671111113D. Neborak2.105470LMay 22 · 16:20I. Arkhipov2.10911131162N. Petukh1.67115159113WMay 22 · 14:50I. Arkhipov1.731111113O. Ivchuk2.005680WMay 2 · 11:50O. Zhurba1.405860I. Arkhipov2.751111103
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