TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Bondarchuk vs Ivan Arkhipov 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played May 23Finished
Oleksandr Bondarchuk
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
121010129111191012
Ivan Arkhipov
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingOleksandr Bondarchuk above · Ivan Arkhipov below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 106 set 5, 10-12
106 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Bondarchuk 32–33 Ivan Arkhipov Oleksandr Bondarchuk has won 32 of their 65 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bondarchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkhipov form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarchuk 1.91 / Arkhipov 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bondarchuk)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #11930407
Bondarchuk1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 21 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Arkhipov1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 52 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBondarchuk5wins
AwayArkhipov5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondarchuk83.3%5 of 6
AwayArkhipov100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondarchuk6Arkhipov4n = 10Bondarchuk took 6 of 10
S2Bondarchuk4Arkhipov6n = 10Arkhipov took 6 of 10
S3Bondarchuk6Arkhipov4n = 10Bondarchuk took 6 of 10
S4Bondarchuk2Arkhipov3n = 5Arkhipov took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBondarchukArkhipovB − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.636.3−0.7per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarchukArkhipovBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 512 vs 220 / 47953.5%45.9%274 / 512 vs 220 / 479Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarchukBondarchuk 1.91/Arkhipov 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bondarchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Arkhipov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 22 · 20:50O. Bondarchuk—1I. Arkhipov—3
LApr 18 · 07:00O. Bondarchuk—1I. Arkhipov—3
WApr 2 · 21:50O. Bondarchuk—3I. Arkhipov—0
LMar 28 · 12:50O. Bondarchuk—2I. Arkhipov—3
WMar 27 · 18:50O. Bondarchuk—3I. Arkhipov—1
WFeb 28 · 09:50O. Bondarchuk—3I. Arkhipov—0
WFeb 27 · 22:50O. Bondarchuk—3I. Arkhipov—2
LFeb 21 · 12:50O. Bondarchuk—0I. Arkhipov—3
LJan 16 · 15:10O. Bondarchuk—0I. Arkhipov—3
WJan 10 · 08:20O. Bondarchuk—3I. Arkhipov—0
O. Bondarchuk10
WSep 18 · 12:20O. Ivchuk4.004890O. Bondarchuk1.221111113LSep 18 · 11:20D. Neborak3.2511711113O. Bondarchuk1.33711991WSep 18 · 09:50O. Zhurba1.30111161162O. Bondarchuk3.40571113113WSep 18 · 05:50O. Pavlyuk3.00111188102O. Bondarchuk1.36891111123WSep 17 · 19:00O. Pavlyuk2.75115491O. Bondarchuk1.4051111113WSep 17 · 17:30O. Bondarchuk1.3611119113I. Hermakivskyi3.00811191WSep 17 · 15:30O. Ivchuk3.756690O. Bondarchuk1.251111113WSep 17 · 13:30D. Neborak3.25911591O. Bondarchuk1.3311711113WSep 17 · 12:30O. Zhurba1.2011770O. Bondarchuk4.331311113LSep 11 · 11:25O. Bondarchuk2.501412771B. Kohut1.50121411113
I. Arkhipov10
LMay 23 · 11:20N. Petukh1.671111117113I. Arkhipov2.1051361172LMay 23 · 09:50R. Zholubak1.30111110113I. Arkhipov3.40841231LMay 23 · 07:50D. Neborak2.101111113I. Arkhipov1.679940WMay 23 · 05:50O. Ivchuk2.257119101I. Arkhipov1.5711911123WMay 22 · 20:50I. Arkhipov1.80111111113O. Bondarchuk1.91751331LMay 22 · 19:20I. Arkhipov3.256860R. Zholubak1.331111113WMay 22 · 17:50I. Arkhipov1.671111113D. Neborak2.105470LMay 22 · 16:20I. Arkhipov2.10911131162N. Petukh1.67115159113WMay 22 · 14:50I. Arkhipov1.731111113O. Ivchuk2.005680WMay 2 · 11:50O. Zhurba1.405860I. Arkhipov2.751111103
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