TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Neborak vs Denys Shcherbak 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Dmytro Neborak
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115711118119––
Denys Shcherbak
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 70.0% is still 70.0%
Graded at full timeDenys Shcherbak to win
70.0%
70.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Neborak above · Denys Shcherbak below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 73 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Denys Shcherbak at 70.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Neborak 4–5 Denys Shcherbak Dmytro Neborak has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Shcherbak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Neborak 1691 vs Shcherbak 1788
Shcherbak
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Neborak 60% vs Shcherbak 80%
Shcherbak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Neborak 40% vs Shcherbak 70%
Shcherbak
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Neborak -1 · Shcherbak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Shcherbak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neborak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeborak 3.00 / Shcherbak 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Shcherbak)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13172704
Neborak3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 113 of 323
Down 0–1, comes back15% 29 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 120
Shcherbak1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite60% won 158 of 263
Up 2–0, closes it92% 91 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it77% 124 of 161
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeNeborak4wins
AwayShcherbak5wins
Shcherbak leads 5–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeborak100%4 of 4
AwayShcherbak100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neborak4Shcherbak5n = 9Shcherbak took 5 of 9
S2Neborak3Shcherbak6n = 9Shcherbak took 6 of 9
S3Neborak3Shcherbak5n = 8Shcherbak took 5 of 8
S4Neborak3Shcherbak1n = 4Neborak took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away444%
These 9 meetings
MetricNeborakShcherbakN − SBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match30.833.4−2.6per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeborakShcherbakBasisWin rate · lifetime307 / 839 vs 345 / 66736.6%51.7%307 / 839 vs 345 / 667Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.836.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShcherbakNeborak 3.00/Shcherbak 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70%
Shcherbak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Neborak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 22 · 06:05D. Neborak4011711113D. Shcherbak33511891
LSep 21 · 12:05D. Neborak197570D. Shcherbak331111113
WJul 20 · 11:55D. Neborak4211128113D. Shcherbak367101181
WJul 20 · 03:00D. Neborak4211911113D. Shcherbak32811671
WJul 14 · 06:35D. Neborak331111113D. Shcherbak236980
LJul 13 · 14:05D. Neborak2141250D. Shcherbak361114113
LJul 13 · 01:30D. Neborak34911861D. Shcherbak4111811113
LJul 7 · 06:25D. Neborak154290D. Shcherbak331111113
D. Neborak10
LSep 22 · 04:35D. Neborak1.73124891I. Romaniak2.00101111113WSep 21 · 18:35D. Pesternikov1.17811781D. Neborak4.5011911113WSep 21 · 17:35I. Romaniak1.83142120D. Neborak1.831611143LSep 21 · 16:05I. Kozachuk1.28111168113D. Neborak3.5099111192WSep 21 · 14:05S. Rak1.366711121D. Neborak3.0011115143LSep 21 · 12:05D. Shcherbak1.501111113D. Neborak2.507570WSep 18 · 11:20D. Neborak3.2511711113O. Bondarchuk1.33711991LSep 18 · 09:20O. Ivchuk1.831011119113D. Neborak1.8312791192LSep 18 · 07:20O. Pavlyuk1.8031111113D. Neborak1.91116931LSep 18 · 06:20O. Zhurba1.20111188113D. Neborak4.3346111182
D. Shcherbak10
WSep 22 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.803890D. Shcherbak1.911111113WSep 21 · 18:05D. Shcherbak2.001111113I. Kozachuk1.738890LSep 21 · 16:35D. Shcherbak3.25115661D. Pesternikov1.3381111113WSep 21 · 15:05D. Shcherbak2.201111123S. Rak1.6145100WSep 21 · 13:35D. Shcherbak1.739101111133I. Romaniak2.00111266112WSep 21 · 12:05D. Shcherbak1.501111113D. Neborak2.507570WSep 19 · 11:05S. Rak1.57711111032D. Shcherbak2.2511971293LSep 19 · 10:05R. Haiseniuk2.6391111113D. Shcherbak1.44118971LSep 19 · 08:35I. Kozachuk1.7351111113D. Shcherbak2.00115391WSep 19 · 06:35O. Hura2.63911681D. Shcherbak1.4411711113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.