TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Serhii Rak
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6117111151214––
Dmytro Neborak
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:03 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeSerhii Rak to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Rak above · Dmytro Neborak below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 77 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Serhii Rak at 73.2%
77 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Rak 6–0 Dmytro Neborak Dmytro Neborak has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Rak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-0 in 6
Rak
Wrong
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rak 1820 vs Neborak 1638
Rak
Wrong
both rated, 182 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rak 60% vs Neborak 20%
Rak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rak 50% vs Neborak 20%
Rak
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rak +1 · Neborak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Rak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neborak form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRak 1.36 / Neborak 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Rak)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13166612
Rak1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 261 of 399
Up 2–0, closes it93% 131 of 141
Up 1–0, closes it82% 185 of 226
Neborak3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 111 of 319
Down 0–1, comes back16% 29 of 186
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeRak6wins
AwayNeborak0wins
1 of 6 to a deciderRak leads 6–0, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRak100%3 of 3
AwayNeborak0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rak3Neborak3n = 6split evenly
S2Rak5Neborak1n = 6Rak took 5 of 6
S3Rak5Neborak1n = 6Rak took 5 of 6
S4Rak4Neborak0n = 4Rak took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricRakNeborakR − NBasisWins60+6in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match40.729.3+11.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRakNeborakBasisWin rate · lifetime518 / 938 vs 303 / 83355.2%36.4%518 / 938 vs 303 / 833Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.735.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RakRak 1.36/Neborak 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.2%
Rak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Neborak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 21 · 07:25S. Rak49711911113D. Neborak3911611562
WJul 20 · 13:55S. Rak44111111113D. Neborak35713781
WJul 19 · 21:30S. Rak4071111113D. Neborak28115661
WJul 13 · 13:05S. Rak4391111123D. Neborak331175101
WJul 12 · 21:30S. Rak351111133D. Neborak2393110
WJul 7 · 07:55S. Rak331111113D. Neborak185940
S. Rak10
LSep 21 · 15:05D. Shcherbak2.201111123S. Rak1.6145100WSep 21 · 13:05D. Pesternikov1.44113561S. Rak2.6371111113LSep 19 · 11:05S. Rak1.57711111032D. Shcherbak2.2511971293LSep 19 · 09:05O. Bindas1.3611411113S. Rak3.00911871WSep 19 · 08:05S. Rak1.30111314173R. Haiseniuk3.4081512151WSep 19 · 07:05I. Kozachuk2.388760S. Rak1.531111113WSep 19 · 05:35S. Rak1.251111113O. Hura3.756560LSep 18 · 02:00S. Rak1.531110161072I. Kozachuk2.388121412113LSep 18 · 24:30S. Rak2.634660D. Pesternikov1.441111113WSep 17 · 23:00S. Rak1.611111113D. Shcherbak2.202580
D. Neborak10
LSep 21 · 12:05D. Shcherbak1.501111113D. Neborak2.507570WSep 18 · 11:20D. Neborak3.2511711113O. Bondarchuk1.33711991LSep 18 · 09:20O. Ivchuk1.831011119113D. Neborak1.8312791192LSep 18 · 07:20O. Pavlyuk1.8031111113D. Neborak1.91116931LSep 18 · 06:20O. Zhurba1.20111188113D. Neborak4.3346111182LSep 17 · 18:00D. Neborak4.50118991O. Zhurba1.1771111113LSep 17 · 16:30D. Neborak1.83117591O. Ivchuk1.8351111113LSep 17 · 15:00D. Neborak1.731212128122O. Pavlyuk2.0014101011143LSep 17 · 13:30D. Neborak3.25911591O. Bondarchuk1.3311711113WSep 17 · 12:00D. Neborak1.57115712113I. Hermakivskyi2.25811111092
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