TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Denys Shcherbak
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115117––––
Dmytro Neborak
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeDenys Shcherbak to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Shcherbak above · Dmytro Neborak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 52 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Denys Shcherbak at 62.9%
52 points played in total.
H2H Denys Shcherbak 4–3 Dmytro Neborak Dmytro Neborak has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Shcherbak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shcherbak 1732 vs Neborak 1650
Shcherbak
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shcherbak 60% vs Neborak 20%
Shcherbak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shcherbak 60% vs Neborak 20%
Shcherbak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shcherbak +1 · Neborak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Shcherbak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neborak form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShcherbak 1.50 / Neborak 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Shcherbak)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13166535
Shcherbak1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 156 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it92% 90 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it77% 123 of 160
Neborak2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 111 of 319
Down 0–1, comes back16% 29 of 186
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeShcherbak4wins
AwayNeborak3wins
Shcherbak leads 4–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShcherbak100%4 of 4
AwayNeborak100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shcherbak4Neborak3n = 7Shcherbak took 4 of 7
S2Shcherbak4Neborak3n = 7Shcherbak took 4 of 7
S3Shcherbak4Neborak2n = 6Shcherbak took 4 of 6
S4Shcherbak1Neborak2n = 3Neborak took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricShcherbakNeborakS − NBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match33.531.2+2.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShcherbakNeborakBasisWin rate · lifetime340 / 660 vs 303 / 83251.5%36.4%340 / 660 vs 303 / 832Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.135.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShcherbakShcherbak 1.50/Neborak 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Shcherbak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Shcherbak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJul 20 · 11:55D. Shcherbak367101181D. Neborak4211128113
LJul 20 · 03:00D. Shcherbak32811671D. Neborak4211911113
LJul 14 · 06:35D. Shcherbak236980D. Neborak331111113
WJul 13 · 14:05D. Shcherbak361114113D. Neborak2141250
WJul 13 · 01:30D. Shcherbak4111811113D. Neborak34911861
WJul 7 · 06:25D. Shcherbak331111113D. Neborak154290
D. Shcherbak10
WSep 19 · 11:05S. Rak1.57711111032D. Shcherbak2.2511971293LSep 19 · 10:05R. Haiseniuk2.6391111113D. Shcherbak1.44118971LSep 19 · 08:35I. Kozachuk1.7351111113D. Shcherbak2.00115391WSep 19 · 06:35O. Hura2.63911681D. Shcherbak1.4411711113WSep 19 · 04:35O. Bindas1.3697100D. Shcherbak3.001111123WSep 18 · 19:05Y. Kravets2.5010890D. Shcherbak1.501211113WSep 18 · 17:35D. Shcherbak1.671111113O. Hura2.108780WSep 18 · 15:35R. Haiseniuk3.406830D. Shcherbak1.301111113LSep 18 · 13:35O. Bindas1.361111113D. Shcherbak3.007390LSep 18 · 12:35I. Kozachuk1.801211113D. Shcherbak1.9110380
D. Neborak10
WSep 18 · 11:20D. Neborak3.2511711113O. Bondarchuk1.33711991LSep 18 · 09:20O. Ivchuk1.831011119113D. Neborak1.8312791192LSep 18 · 07:20O. Pavlyuk1.8031111113D. Neborak1.91116931LSep 18 · 06:20O. Zhurba1.20111188113D. Neborak4.3346111182LSep 17 · 18:00D. Neborak4.50118991O. Zhurba1.1771111113LSep 17 · 16:30D. Neborak1.83117591O. Ivchuk1.8351111113LSep 17 · 15:00D. Neborak1.731212128122O. Pavlyuk2.0014101011143LSep 17 · 13:30D. Neborak3.25911591O. Bondarchuk1.3311711113WSep 17 · 12:00D. Neborak1.57115712113I. Hermakivskyi2.25811111092LSep 13 · 09:30D. Neborak2.6399141892S. Hohenko1.4411111216113
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