TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11903874
Played May 17Finished
Filip Mandrysz
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115115711114––
Michal Kocur
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingFilip Mandrysz above · Michal Kocur below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 65 set 4, 11-4
65 points played in total.
H2H Filip Mandrysz 2–1 Michal Kocur Michal Kocur has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Mandrysz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mandrysz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMandrysz 1.61 / Kocur 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Mandrysz)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #11903874
Mandrysz1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Kocur2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMandrysz2wins
AwayKocur1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMandrysz leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mandrysz1Kocur2n = 3Kocur took 2 of 3
S2Mandrysz1Kocur2n = 3Kocur took 2 of 3
S3Mandrysz2Kocur1n = 3Mandrysz took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricMandryszKocurM − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match34.038.0−4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMandryszKocurBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 205 vs 123 / 23050.7%53.5%104 / 205 vs 123 / 230Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.640.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MandryszMandrysz 1.61/Kocur 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Mandrysz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mandrysz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMay 2 · 14:45F. Mandrysz—3M. Kocur—1
WApr 5 · 06:15F. Mandrysz—3M. Kocur—2
LFeb 28 · 15:15F. Mandrysz—0M. Kocur—3
F. Mandrysz10
LSep 7 · 08:44F. Mandrysz1.28910111192T. Slivka3.50111269113WSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka3.409390F. Mandrysz1.301111113LSep 7 · 07:15F. Mandrysz2.10128911112L. Snr1.671011117133LSep 7 · 05:45A. Strelec2.3811114113F. Mandrysz1.53671131WSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101WSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LSep 6 · 15:15F. Mandrysz1.83511911142M. Sobota1.83118118163LSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172WSep 5 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.721111113L. Jr2.008860WSep 5 · 08:10F. Mandrysz1.831114113L. Stempak1.8371280
M. Kocur10
WMay 17 · 16:45R. Jancak1.5311851172M. Kocur2.38811116113LMay 17 · 16:10P. Sturma2.00611411113M. Kocur1.7311711892LMay 17 · 15:10M. Kocur2.001441191R. Jancak1.73121113113LMay 12 · 17:25M. Kocur—91113462L. Jr—1191111113WMay 12 · 15:45L. Jr1.981112111082M. Kocur1.68914712113LMay 12 · 15:15J. Lysek2.42117411113M. Kocur1.4681111982WMay 12 · 14:15M. Kocur1.8291111173P. Sturma1.821187151LMay 11 · 17:20M. Kocur1.671169131P. Sturma2.0071111153WMay 11 · 15:45M. Kocur1.3911119113L. Snr2.60471161WMay 11 · 14:45M. Kocur1.66119118113D. Cecotka2.0281121172
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