TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #11676077
Played Apr 1Finished
Josef Braun
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311116114––––
Piotr Chodorski
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJosef Braun above · Piotr Chodorski below
Set 1 · 12-11
Point 23 set 1, 12-11
23 points drawn · the score is 33 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Josef Braun 15–4 Piotr Chodorski Piotr Chodorski has won 4 of their 19 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Braun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chodorski form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBraun 2.00 / Chodorski 1.73
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Braun)+12.7pp
TT Elite Series · #11676077
Braun2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Chodorski1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBraun8wins
AwayChodorski2wins
Braun leads 8–2.
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Braun7Chodorski3n = 10Braun took 7 of 10
S2Braun6Chodorski4n = 10Braun took 6 of 10
S3Braun6Chodorski4n = 10Braun took 6 of 10
S4Braun4Chodorski2n = 6Braun took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBraunChodorskiB − CBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.931.6+4.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBraunChodorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime555 / 1056 vs 416 / 86152.6%48.3%555 / 1056 vs 416 / 861Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.335.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BraunBraun 2.00/Chodorski 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59%
Braun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Braun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
W—J. Braun—3P. Chodorski—0
W—J. Braun—0P. Chodorski—3
W—J. Braun—3P. Chodorski—0
L—J. Braun—0P. Chodorski—3
W—J. Braun—3P. Chodorski—1
W—J. Braun—3P. Chodorski—1
L—J. Braun—3P. Chodorski—1
W—J. Braun—3P. Chodorski—2
W—J. Braun—1P. Chodorski—3
W—J. Braun—2P. Chodorski—3
J. Braun10
LSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751LSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113WSep 6 · 12:05M. Nowalinski2.50115991J. Braun1.5021111113LSep 6 · 10:50S. Sporek2.75811711113J. Braun1.4011911562WSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113WSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741LSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161LSep 6 · 05:40S. Sporek2.751711102113J. Braun1.40157121192WSep 6 · 04:55J. Braun1.5011128113M. Nowalinski2.504101161WSep 6 · 03:45J. Braun2.0014911113S. Kolasa1.731211581
P. Chodorski10
LSep 2 · 16:40P. Chodorski1.4484111152R. Formela2.6311116363WAug 30 · 17:30P. Chodorski—71111113F. Wetzel—114371WAug 29 · 17:00A. Stalzer—5990P. Chodorski—1111113WAug 28 · 17:39J. Cavaille1.6131181142P. Chodorski2.2011511363LApr 12 · 12:33P. Chodorski2.2510118131M. Zalewski1.5712211153LApr 1 · 11:35P. Chodorski1.7300J. Braun2.0050LApr 1 · 10:45A. Wiecek1.611111113P. Chodorski2.207760LApr 1 · 09:35K. Petas1.911111113P. Chodorski1.808680WApr 1 · 08:25P. Chodorski1.8313119163A. Wiecek1.8311711141LApr 1 · 07:15M. Olejnik1.361111113P. Chodorski3.004830
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