TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #11676046
Played Apr 1Finished
Adrian Wiecek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117116––––
Piotr Chodorski
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingAdrian Wiecek above · Piotr Chodorski below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6
53 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Wiecek 28–24 Piotr Chodorski Piotr Chodorski has won 24 of their 52 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wiecek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chodorski form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiecek 1.61 / Chodorski 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wiecek)-3.7pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #11676046
The market does not separate these two
1.61 against 2.20 — a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here — the price is the datum.
Wiecek1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Chodorski2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWiecek8wins
AwayChodorski2wins
Wiecek leads 8–2.
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiecek8Chodorski2n = 10Wiecek took 8 of 10
S2Wiecek5Chodorski5n = 10split evenly
S3Wiecek5Chodorski5n = 10split evenly
S4Wiecek6Chodorski3n = 9Wiecek took 6 of 9
S5Wiecek3Chodorski1n = 4Wiecek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWiecekChodorskiW − CBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.239.3+3.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWiecekChodorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1016 / 1888 vs 416 / 86053.8%48.4%1016 / 1888 vs 416 / 860Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.535.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WiecekWiecek 1.61/Chodorski 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wiecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wiecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
W—A. Wiecek—3P. Chodorski—0
L—A. Wiecek—3P. Chodorski—1
W—A. Wiecek—3P. Chodorski—2
W—A. Wiecek—2P. Chodorski—3
W—A. Wiecek—3P. Chodorski—1
W—A. Wiecek—3P. Chodorski—1
W—A. Wiecek—1P. Chodorski—3
W—A. Wiecek—3P. Chodorski—2
L—A. Wiecek—3P. Chodorski—2
W—A. Wiecek—1P. Chodorski—3
A. Wiecek10
LSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113WSep 4 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.4411119113D. Michna2.63891191WSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172WSep 4 · 11:15A. Grela1.838680A. Wiecek1.831111113LSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113LSep 4 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.539111181D. Michna2.3811713113WSep 4 · 06:55A. Wiecek1.9111511113M. Jadczyk1.80911581LSep 4 · 05:40A. Wiecek1.9111311992A. Grela1.80811811113WSep 4 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.40111011113S. Dosz2.75712591LSep 4 · 03:00A. Wiecek2.00951151A. Dosz1.7311118113
P. Chodorski10
LSep 2 · 16:40P. Chodorski1.4484111152R. Formela2.6311116363WAug 30 · 17:30P. Chodorski—71111113F. Wetzel—114371WAug 29 · 17:00A. Stalzer—5990P. Chodorski—1111113WAug 28 · 17:39J. Cavaille1.6131181142P. Chodorski2.2011511363LApr 12 · 12:33P. Chodorski2.2510118131M. Zalewski1.5712211153LApr 1 · 11:35P. Chodorski1.7300J. Braun2.0050LApr 1 · 09:35K. Petas1.911111113P. Chodorski1.808680WApr 1 · 08:25P. Chodorski1.8313119163A. Wiecek1.8311711141LApr 1 · 07:15M. Olejnik1.361111113P. Chodorski3.004830LApr 1 · 05:50J. Braun2.001311113P. Chodorski1.7311640
Upcoming Matches
A. Wiecek
Sep 8 · 03:45A. Wiecek2.00T. Spanik1.73—Sep 8 · 04:55A. Wiecek2.10M. Olejnik1.67—Sep 8 · 05:40A. Wiecek2.10J. Kosowski1.67—Sep 8 · 06:30A. Wiecek—J. Folwarski——Sep 8 · 08:05A. Wiecek2.50P. David1.50—Sep 8 · 09:20A. Wiecek2.10J. Kosowski1.67—Sep 8 · 10:50A. Wiecek1.40K. Wloczko2.75—Sep 8 · 12:05A. Wiecek2.10M. Olejnik1.67—Sep 8 · 13:20A. Wiecek—K. Kolodziej——Sep 8 · 14:35A. Wiecek2.00T. Spanik1.73—
P. Chodorski
Nothing scheduled
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