Ihor Emets vs Anatolii Kovalenko · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Starts 10:05Scheduled

Ihor Emets

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 4

7–3Last 10Won last 4

Head to head

3 – 6

All 9 meetings · 33.3%

Last 9 · 3–6Same side

Anatolii Kovalenko

Away

1.73

At publish

Won last 2

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Ihor Emets arrives on a run of 4 straight wins.

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Price verdict

Value · Medium

Ihor Emets at 2.00

The underdog is priced longer than what we measure says.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsEmets 2.00 / Kovalenko 1.727

Round robin · match 11 of 15

4 of 15 played

Group 5 of 9 on the day's ladder

Round robin before this match

Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
1	Ihor EmetsThis match	1–0	3–1	4
2	Oleh Volynets	1–0	3–0	4
3	Anatolii KovalenkoThis match	1–0	3–2	4
4	Serhii Solomko	1–1	4–3	3
5	Andrii Kurtenko	0–1	2–3	4
6	Oleksandr Leonenko	0–2	0–6	3

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 9 meetings

HomeEmets3wins

AwayKovalenko6wins

2 of 9 to a deciderKovalenko leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeEmetsn = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayKovalenko75%6 of 8

Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Emets1Kovalenko8n = 9Kovalenko took 8 of 9

S2Emets7Kovalenko2n = 9Emets took 7 of 9

S3Emets2Kovalenko7n = 9Kovalenko took 7 of 9

S4Emets2Kovalenko5n = 7Kovalenko took 5 of 7

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home111%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home222%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away556%

0–3Straight, away111%

These 9 meetings

MetricEmetsKovalenkoE − KBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set18−7of 9Avg pointsper match34.439.9−5.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricEmetsKovalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 497 vs 305 / 58151.5%52.5%256 / 497 vs 305 / 581Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.6per match

Setka Cup · #13281057

Emets2.00

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog40% won 49 of 124

Down 0–1, comes back26% 20 of 78

Down 0–2, comes back14% 7 of 50

Kovalenko1.73

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite51% won 72 of 142

Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36

Up 1–0, closes it69% 51 of 74

Ihor Emets vs Anatolii Kovalenko · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 11 of 15

Round robin before this match

Ihor Emets vs Anatolii Kovalenko · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 11 of 15

Round robin before this match