Andrii Kurtenko vs Anatolii Kovalenko 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Andrii Kurtenko

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

11811310121012911

Anatolii Kovalenko

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:58 and never touched: 56.9% is still 56.9%

Graded at full time

Andrii Kurtenko to win

56.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Anatolii Kovalenko below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 11-3

Set 3 · 10-12

Set 4 · 10-12

Set 5 · 9-11

Point 97 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Andrii Kurtenko at 56.9%

97 points played in total.

H2H Andrii Kurtenko 7–14 Anatolii Kovalenko Andrii Kurtenko has won 7 of their 21 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kurtenko

Kurtenko 1.67/Kovalenko 2.10

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

56.9%

Kurtenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Kovalenko won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 05:58

56.9%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666

short by 3.1pp

60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Kurtenko

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

7-14 in 21

Kovalenko

Correct

gap of 7 in 21, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Kurtenko 1471 vs Kovalenko 1429

Kurtenko

Wrong

both rated, 42 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kurtenko 60% vs Kovalenko 20%

Kurtenko

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kurtenko 60% vs Kovalenko 40%

Kurtenko

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kurtenko +2 · Kovalenko +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Kurtenko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kovalenko: form 20%, the price implies 48%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKurtenko 1.666 / Kovalenko 2.10

Signal prob.57% / 43%

Edge (Kurtenko)-3.1pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKurtenko5wins

AwayKovalenko5wins

1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKurtenko66.7%4 of 6

AwayKovalenko75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kurtenko6Kovalenko4n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10

S2Kurtenko7Kovalenko3n = 10Kurtenko took 7 of 10

S3Kurtenko5Kovalenko5n = 10split evenly

S4Kurtenko3Kovalenko5n = 8Kovalenko took 5 of 8

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricKurtenkoKovalenkoKurtenko − KovalenkoBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.535.1+3.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKurtenkoKovalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 680 vs 305 / 58152.4%52.5%356 / 680 vs 305 / 581Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.6per match

Setka Cup · #13281092

Kurtenko1.67

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 6 days ago (Oct 06)

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite59% won 134 of 229

Up 2–0, closes it90% 74 of 82

Up 1–0, closes it79% 99 of 126

Kovalenko2.10

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 10)

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog41% won 39 of 95

Down 0–1, comes back23% 13 of 56

Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32

Andrii Kurtenko vs Anatolii Kovalenko 2-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Andrii Kurtenko vs Anatolii Kovalenko 2-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.