TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Valerii Kolesnykov vs Anatolii Kovalenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811811114117611
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:29 and never touched: 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeValerii Kolesnykov to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingValerii Kolesnykov above · Anatolii Kovalenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 88 set 5, 6-11 · our read held Valerii Kolesnykov at 69.1%
88 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Kolesnykov 5–6 Anatolii Kovalenko Valerii Kolesnykov has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:2969.1%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 2.3pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kolesnykov
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnykov 1570 vs Kovalenko 1455
Kolesnykov
Wrong
both rated, 115 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnykov 80% vs Kovalenko 40%
Kolesnykov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnykov 50% vs Kovalenko 30%
Kolesnykov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnykov +2 · Kovalenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Kolesnykov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnykov 1.40 / Kovalenko 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Kolesnykov)-2.3pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245193
Kolesnykov1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 89 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it78% 59 of 76
Kovalenko2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 37 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back25% 14 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolesnykov4wins
AwayKovalenko6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKovalenko leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnykov40%2 of 5
AwayKovalenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnykov5Kovalenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolesnykov4Kovalenko6n = 10Kovalenko took 6 of 10
S3Kolesnykov3Kovalenko7n = 10Kovalenko took 7 of 10
S4Kolesnykov6Kovalenko3n = 9Kolesnykov took 6 of 9
S5Kolesnykov3Kovalenko4n = 7Kovalenko took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolesnykovKovalenkoKolesnykov − KovalenkoBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.242.7−4.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnykovKovalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 660 vs 303 / 57453%52.8%350 / 660 vs 303 / 574Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnykovKolesnykov 1.40/Kovalenko 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.1%
Kolesnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 5 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov4488111162A. Kovalenko44111147113
WAug 31 · 09:35V. Kolesnykov3711114113A. Kovalenko35961191
WAug 24 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov49971111113A. Kovalenko3611113562
WMay 31 · 08:50V. Kolesnykov47711711113A. Kovalenko3911611742
LApr 1 · 05:05V. Kolesnykov3411631132A. Kovalenko49811118113
LMar 17 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov4311154582A. Kovalenko548131111113
LMar 16 · 08:35V. Kolesnykov321241061A. Kovalenko44101112113
LMar 10 · 12:10V. Kolesnykov136340A. Kovalenko331111113
LMar 2 · 10:05V. Kolesnykov3751112722A. Kovalenko501171011113
WFeb 24 · 14:40V. Kolesnykov461131011113A. Kovalenko4351112782
V. Kolesnykov10
WOct 5 · 10:30O. Volynets2.109580V. Kolesnykov1.671111113WOct 5 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov1.441111113E. Populovskyi2.637760WOct 5 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov1.368111011113O. Leonenko3.0011412992LOct 5 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov1.67971111102S. Solomko2.10111145123WOct 2 · 10:04V. Kolesnykov1.83111311143O. Karpenko1.8361113121WOct 2 · 08:00Y. Volkov1.91101150V. Kolesnykov1.801213113LOct 2 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov3.50114941A. Troyan1.2871111113LOct 2 · 06:00O. Karpenko1.83591111113V. Kolesnykov1.8311118692LOct 2 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.6391161182Y. Kovshun1.44116119113LSep 28 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov1.61881161I. Emets2.2011119113
A. Kovalenko10
WOct 5 · 07:30O. Volynets1.40121360A. Kovalenko2.751415113WOct 5 · 06:30A. Kovalenko1.9111118163E. Populovskyi1.807611141LOct 5 · 05:30O. Leonenko1.73111312113A. Kovalenko2.007151061LOct 4 · 12:50A. Kurtenko2.00101211113A. Kovalenko1.731210741LOct 4 · 11:20A. Kovalenko2.258930O. Osadchyi1.571111113WOct 4 · 09:20A. Martyniuk1.40111171182A. Kovalenko2.75681113113LOct 4 · 07:20E. Populovskyi1.9111115123A. Kovalenko1.805711101LOct 4 · 06:20S. Solomko1.731111113A. Kovalenko2.005680LOct 3 · 19:00A. Kovalenko1.8091111872E. Populovskyi1.91114811113LOct 3 · 17:00A. Martyniuk1.4491111123A. Kovalenko2.631179101
Upcoming Matches
V. Kolesnykov
Nothing scheduled
A. Kovalenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.