TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Valerii Kolesnykov vs Ihor Emets 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811811119611––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:28 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeValerii Kolesnykov to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Valerii Kolesnykov @ 1.61 · Lost
How it is goingValerii Kolesnykov above · Ihor Emets below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 75 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Valerii Kolesnykov at 60.9%
75 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Kolesnykov 35–22 Ihor Emets Ihor Emets has won 22 of their 57 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 09:28What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kolesnykov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-22 in 57
Kolesnykov
Wrong
gap of 13 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnykov 1608 vs Emets 1465
Kolesnykov
Wrong
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnykov 40% vs Emets 20%
Kolesnykov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnykov 50% vs Emets 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnykov +1 · Emets -4
Emets
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kolesnykov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Emets form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnykov 1.61 / Emets 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kolesnykov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13208248
Kolesnykov1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 88 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it76% 58 of 76
Emets2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 50 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back26% 20 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back15% 7 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolesnykov8wins
AwayEmets2wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKolesnykov leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnykov80%4 of 5
AwayEmets20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnykov5Emets5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolesnykov9Emets1n = 10Kolesnykov took 9 of 10
S3Kolesnykov5Emets5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolesnykov4Emets6n = 10Emets took 6 of 10
S5Kolesnykov5Emets2n = 7Kolesnykov took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolesnykovEmetsK − EBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.341.8+2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnykovEmetsBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 660 vs 255 / 50053.2%51%351 / 660 vs 255 / 500Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnykovKolesnykov 1.61/Emets 2.20
Miss
What we said
60.9%
Kolesnykov · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Valerii Kolesnykov @ 1.61 · Lost
What happened
1–3
Emets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov41511111132I. Emets50118713113
WSep 17 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov43111155113I. Emets4296111152
WSep 15 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov4411813123I. Emets4081111101
WSep 2 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov471111104113I. Emets4467121182
WAug 27 · 10:05V. Kolesnykov47711115133I. Emets45114811112
WJul 23 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov4071111113I. Emets27112861
WJul 13 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov47911412113I. Emets48118111082
WJul 6 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov3911116113I. Emets33871171
WJun 29 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov49611119123I. Emets43116511102
LJun 22 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov4611119782I. Emets46671111113
V. Kolesnykov10
WSep 28 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov1.911111113Y. Volkov1.805460LSep 28 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov1.50811111392V. Bilobrov2.50119715113WSep 28 · 06:00V. Kolesnykov1.61121011113A. Martyniuk2.201012731LSep 28 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov3.4081050A. Troyan1.301112113LSep 23 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov1.61511111132I. Emets2.20118713113WSep 23 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov1.911121011113D. Khairov1.80111012972LSep 23 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov3.003280A. Troyan1.361111113LSep 23 · 06:00V. Kolesnykov1.8311129972O. Karpenko1.836101111113WSep 23 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov1.831111113O. Volynets1.838950WSep 21 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.618911101V. Kolesnykov2.2011115123
I. Emets10
LSep 28 · 09:30I. Emets2.633640V. Bilobrov1.441111113LSep 28 · 08:30I. Emets1.5356100A. Troyan2.381111123LSep 28 · 07:00I. Emets2.75138281Y. Volkov1.40111111113LSep 28 · 05:00I. Emets2.204730A. Martyniuk1.611111113WSep 23 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov1.61511111132I. Emets2.20118713113LSep 23 · 09:30I. Emets1.363980A. Troyan3.001111113WSep 23 · 08:30I. Emets2.384101111113O. Volynets1.5311127672WSep 23 · 07:00I. Emets1.911211113D. Khairov1.8010890LSep 23 · 05:00I. Emets3.259111191O. Karpenko1.3311813113WSep 22 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.73157111042I. Emets2.001311712113
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