TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yurii Volkov vs Valerii Kolesnykov 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10121113511––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:59 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeValerii Kolesnykov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Valerii Kolesnykov @ 1.80 · Won
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Valerii Kolesnykov below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 62 set 3, 5-11 · our read held Valerii Kolesnykov at 54.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 15–20 Valerii Kolesnykov Yurii Volkov has won 15 of their 35 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 06:5954.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolesnykov
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
15-20 in 35
Kolesnykov
Correct
gap of 5 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1615 vs Kolesnykov 1554
Volkov
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 60% vs Kolesnykov 20%
Volkov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 70% vs Kolesnykov 30%
Volkov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov +1 · Kolesnykov -4
Kolesnykov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kolesnykov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolesnykov form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.909 / Kolesnykov 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolesnykov)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13230237
Volkov1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 43 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back29% 15 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Kolesnykov1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 88 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it77% 58 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov5wins
AwayKolesnykov5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov100%3 of 3
AwayKolesnykov71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov3Kolesnykov7n = 10Kolesnykov took 7 of 10
S2Volkov4Kolesnykov6n = 10Kolesnykov took 6 of 10
S3Volkov7Kolesnykov3n = 10Volkov took 7 of 10
S4Volkov3Kolesnykov3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovKolesnykovV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.034.3−0.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovKolesnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime410 / 786 vs 350 / 66252.2%52.9%410 / 786 vs 350 / 662Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnykovVolkov 1.91/Kolesnykov 1.80
Hit
What we said
54%
Kolesnykov · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Valerii Kolesnykov @ 1.80 · Won
What happened
0–3
Kolesnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 28 · 09:00Y. Volkov155460V. Kolesnykov331111113
LSep 21 · 10:30Y. Volkov388911101V. Kolesnykov3911115123
WJul 28 · 11:05Y. Volkov351311113V. Kolesnykov2611870
WJul 27 · 08:05Y. Volkov331111113V. Kolesnykov214890
LJul 20 · 11:05Y. Volkov2284100V. Kolesnykov341111123
WJul 13 · 05:35Y. Volkov4211911113V. Kolesnykov30511681
LJun 29 · 09:00Y. Volkov335711101V. Kolesnykov4011116123
WJun 26 · 12:05Y. Volkov473111011123V. Kolesnykov42113126102
LJun 23 · 10:30Y. Volkov31781151V. Kolesnykov4011117113
WJun 22 · 04:30Y. Volkov4491113113V. Kolesnykov381171191
Y. Volkov10
LOct 2 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.40118861O. Karpenko2.7541111113WOct 2 · 06:30Y. Volkov1.801111113Y. Kovshun1.915870LOct 2 · 05:30Y. Volkov1.7399100A. Troyan2.001111123LOct 1 · 09:59Y. Kovshun1.802111111113Y. Volkov1.9111391382WOct 1 · 09:00S. Hryhorenko2.5084100Y. Volkov1.501111123WOct 1 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.674111011113A. Troyan2.1011812852WOct 1 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.801110118113O. Tymofeev1.9181281192LOct 1 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.739830Y. Kovshun2.001111113WSep 29 · 09:58D. Khairov2.1011116642Y. Volkov1.67881111113WSep 29 · 09:00O. Leonenko6.008550Y. Volkov1.111111113
V. Kolesnykov10
LOct 2 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov3.50114941A. Troyan1.2871111113LOct 2 · 06:00O. Karpenko1.83591111113V. Kolesnykov1.8311118692LOct 2 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.6391161182Y. Kovshun1.44116119113LSep 28 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov1.61881161I. Emets2.2011119113WSep 28 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov1.911111113Y. Volkov1.805460LSep 28 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov1.50811111392V. Bilobrov2.50119715113WSep 28 · 06:00V. Kolesnykov1.61121011113A. Martyniuk2.201012731LSep 28 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov3.4081050A. Troyan1.301112113LSep 23 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov1.61511111132I. Emets2.20118713113WSep 23 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov1.911121011113D. Khairov1.80111012972
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