TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Kurtenko vs Oleksandr Osadchyi 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711119117115––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:44 and never touched: 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Osadchyi to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Oleksandr Osadchyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 72 set 4, 11-5 · our read held Oleksandr Osadchyi at 54.5%
72 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kurtenko 36–49 Oleksandr Osadchyi Andrii Kurtenko has won 36 of their 85 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:4454.5%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.4pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Osadchyi
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
36-49 in 85
Osadchyi
Wrong
gap of 13 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1458 vs Osadchyi 1444
Kurtenko
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 60% vs Osadchyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 50% vs Osadchyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -1 · Osadchyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Osadchyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 2.00 / Osadchyi 1.727
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Osadchyi)-3.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13240274
Kurtenko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 49 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Osadchyi1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 111 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it97% 58 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it78% 79 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko4wins
AwayOsadchyi6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderOsadchyi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko50%2 of 4
AwayOsadchyi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko4Osadchyi6n = 10Osadchyi took 6 of 10
S2Kurtenko7Osadchyi3n = 10Kurtenko took 7 of 10
S3Kurtenko3Osadchyi7n = 10Osadchyi took 7 of 10
S4Kurtenko4Osadchyi3n = 7Kurtenko took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoOsadchyiK − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.337.9−1.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoOsadchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 676 vs 448 / 86552.4%51.8%354 / 676 vs 448 / 865Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
OsadchyiKurtenko 2.00/Osadchyi 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Osadchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 4 · 07:50A. Kurtenko4071111113O. Osadchyi32119751
WSep 27 · 09:20A. Kurtenko46111311113O. Osadchyi397111381
LSep 26 · 16:30A. Kurtenko4411157472O. Osadchyi559131111113
WSep 22 · 08:05A. Kurtenko331111113O. Osadchyi218670
LSep 21 · 08:50A. Kurtenko56911141392O. Osadchyi551161611113
LSep 20 · 10:50A. Kurtenko217770O. Osadchyi331111113
LSep 15 · 06:35A. Kurtenko2561090O. Osadchyi341112113
WSep 13 · 08:50A. Kurtenko3961111113O. Osadchyi28114671
LSep 3 · 07:30A. Kurtenko27114571O. Osadchyi4181111113
LSep 2 · 11:05A. Kurtenko326115101O. Osadchyi4111711123
A. Kurtenko10
LOct 4 · 06:50A. Martyniuk1.36111011113A. Kurtenko3.00712971WSep 27 · 11:19A. Kurtenko1.9111411973S. Solomko1.8091181152WSep 27 · 09:20O. Osadchyi1.737111381A. Kurtenko2.00111311113LSep 27 · 08:20A. Kurtenko1.67911118102D. Patalakha2.10117911123WSep 27 · 07:20S. Solomko1.801191211102A. Kurtenko1.911311108123LSep 27 · 06:20A. Kurtenko2.6312119121O. Tymofeev1.4414511143LSep 26 · 18:00A. Kurtenko2.2551312101B. Zaika1.57111510113LSep 26 · 16:30A. Kurtenko2.0011157472O. Osadchyi1.739131111113WSep 26 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.63129111153O. Tymofeev1.4414119822WSep 26 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.9111117103S. Solomko1.80671171
O. Osadchyi10
WOct 4 · 05:50E. Populovskyi3.5010980O. Osadchyi1.281211113WOct 3 · 18:00O. Osadchyi3.7561111103A. Martyniuk1.25118971LOct 3 · 16:30O. Osadchyi1.731110891O. Leonenko2.0061211113WOct 3 · 15:00O. Osadchyi1.73111112A. Kovalenko2.008810WOct 3 · 13:30O. Osadchyi1.25131210113E. Populovskyi3.7511101291LOct 3 · 12:00O. Osadchyi2.5081010S. Solomko1.501112113WOct 1 · 09:05E. Populovskyi3.507680O. Osadchyi1.281111113LOct 1 · 07:35A. Martyniuk1.2511911113O. Osadchyi3.75611421LSep 27 · 09:20O. Osadchyi1.737111381A. Kurtenko2.00111311113WSep 26 · 16:30A. Kurtenko2.0011157472O. Osadchyi1.739131111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.