TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Solomko vs Andrii Kurtenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
111391112101181012
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Solomko above · Andrii Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 107 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 55.1%
107 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Solomko 33–44 Andrii Kurtenko Serhii Solomko has won 33 of their 77 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:29What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Solomko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-44 in 77
Kurtenko
Correct
gap of 11 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Solomko 1487 vs Kurtenko 1426
Solomko
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solomko 20% vs Kurtenko 40%
Kurtenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solomko 40% vs Kurtenko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Solomko -3 · Kurtenko -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Solomko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolomko 1.80 / Kurtenko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Solomko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13202768
Solomko1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 115 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it89% 57 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 103
Kurtenko1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 51 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSolomko6wins
AwayKurtenko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSolomko100%4 of 4
AwayKurtenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Solomko4Kurtenko6n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S2Solomko6Kurtenko4n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S3Solomko8Kurtenko2n = 10Solomko took 8 of 10
S4Solomko5Kurtenko2n = 7Solomko took 5 of 7
S5Solomko1Kurtenko2n = 3Kurtenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSolomkoKurtenkoS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.337.7+4.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSolomkoKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime534 / 1037 vs 353 / 67751.5%52.1%534 / 1037 vs 353 / 677Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoSolomko 1.80/Kurtenko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 27 · 07:20S. Solomko531191211102A. Kurtenko541311108123
LSep 24 · 06:35S. Solomko37911981A. Kurtenko4011711113
LSep 21 · 05:50S. Solomko4441111992A. Kurtenko46119411113
WSep 20 · 12:50S. Solomko371511113A. Kurtenko2913880
WSep 13 · 07:50S. Solomko3941111133A. Kurtenko351194111
WSep 12 · 12:00S. Solomko521181111113A. Kurtenko4513119572
WSep 5 · 13:30S. Solomko45131011113A. Kurtenko341112651
WSep 3 · 11:30S. Solomko3711110153A. Kurtenko327111131
WSep 2 · 05:35S. Solomko371511113A. Kurtenko2413830
S. Solomko10
WSep 27 · 08:50S. Solomko2.751111183O. Tymofeev1.4044160LSep 27 · 05:50S. Solomko1.918780D. Patalakha1.801111113LSep 26 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.441112113S. Solomko2.6381050LSep 26 · 17:30S. Solomko1.801112351D. Patalakha1.9171411113WSep 26 · 15:30O. Osadchyi2.207960S. Solomko1.611111113LSep 26 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.9111117103S. Solomko1.80671171LSep 26 · 12:30B. Zaika1.57118118113S. Solomko2.2581181182WSep 24 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.807660S. Solomko1.911111113WSep 24 · 10:35S. Solomko1.3011611113E. Populovskyi3.40511571WSep 24 · 08:35O. Lipeiko1.9111129262S. Solomko1.805101111113
A. Kurtenko10
LSep 27 · 08:20A. Kurtenko1.67911118102D. Patalakha2.10117911123LSep 27 · 06:20A. Kurtenko2.6312119121O. Tymofeev1.4414511143LSep 26 · 18:00A. Kurtenko2.2551312101B. Zaika1.57111510113LSep 26 · 16:30A. Kurtenko2.0011157472O. Osadchyi1.739131111113WSep 26 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.63129111153O. Tymofeev1.4414119822WSep 26 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.9111117103S. Solomko1.80671171LSep 26 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.57101181292D. Patalakha2.251241110103LSep 24 · 11:05A. Kurtenko1.67811111292O. Leonenko2.10116414113LSep 24 · 09:35A. Kurtenko1.8311815992O. Lipeiko1.839111311113LSep 24 · 08:05A. Kurtenko3.25811114102A. Martyniuk1.33118511123
Upcoming Matches
S. Solomko
A. Kurtenko
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