TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Solomko vs Oleksandr Tymofeev 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141141816––––
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:37 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Tymofeev to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Solomko above · Oleksandr Tymofeev below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 18-16
Point 64 set 3, 18-16 — our read held Oleksandr Tymofeev at 67.5%
64 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Solomko 5–9 Oleksandr Tymofeev Serhii Solomko has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:37What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Tymofeev
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-9 in 14
Tymofeev
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Solomko 1468 vs Tymofeev 1612
Tymofeev
Wrong
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solomko 20% vs Tymofeev 80%
Tymofeev
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solomko 40% vs Tymofeev 90%
Tymofeev
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Solomko -4 · Tymofeev +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Tymofeev) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolomko 2.75 / Tymofeev 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 70%
Edge (Tymofeev)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13203217
Solomko2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 118 of 254
Down 0–1, comes back24% 34 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 81
Tymofeev1.40
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite72% won 88 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it90% 45 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it89% 64 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSolomko4wins
AwayTymofeev6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTymofeev leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSolomko66.7%4 of 6
AwayTymofeev100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Solomko6Tymofeev4n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S2Solomko4Tymofeev6n = 10Tymofeev took 6 of 10
S3Solomko1Tymofeev9n = 10Tymofeev took 9 of 10
S4Solomko2Tymofeev5n = 7Tymofeev took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSolomkoTymofeevS − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.439.8−4.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSolomkoTymofeevBasisWin rate · lifetime533 / 1036 vs 280 / 52551.5%53.3%533 / 1036 vs 280 / 525Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TymofeevSolomko 2.75/Tymofeev 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.5%
Tymofeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 26 · 19:00S. Solomko2381050O. Tymofeev341112113
LSep 5 · 19:00S. Solomko34771281O. Tymofeev43111110113
WAug 30 · 12:50S. Solomko45116611113O. Tymofeev4471111872
WAug 29 · 13:30S. Solomko511111117113O. Tymofeev4397131132
LAug 24 · 11:00S. Solomko331184101O. Tymofeev4171111123
LAug 4 · 17:40S. Solomko368144101O. Tymofeev46111211123
WAug 2 · 08:00S. Solomko4411119133O. Tymofeev347511111
LJul 26 · 07:50S. Solomko177280O. Tymofeev331111113
S. Solomko10
LSep 27 · 07:20S. Solomko1.801191211102A. Kurtenko1.911311108123LSep 27 · 05:50S. Solomko1.918780D. Patalakha1.801111113LSep 26 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.441112113S. Solomko2.6381050LSep 26 · 17:30S. Solomko1.801112351D. Patalakha1.9171411113WSep 26 · 15:30O. Osadchyi2.207960S. Solomko1.611111113LSep 26 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.9111117103S. Solomko1.80671171LSep 26 · 12:30B. Zaika1.57118118113S. Solomko2.2581181182WSep 24 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.807660S. Solomko1.911111113WSep 24 · 10:35S. Solomko1.3011611113E. Populovskyi3.40511571WSep 24 · 08:35O. Lipeiko1.9111129262S. Solomko1.805101111113
O. Tymofeev10
WSep 27 · 09:50O. Tymofeev1.30114115113D. Patalakha3.4091151142WSep 27 · 07:50O. Osadchyi1.9171111992O. Tymofeev1.80117511113WSep 27 · 06:20A. Kurtenko2.6312119121O. Tymofeev1.4414511143WSep 26 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.441112113S. Solomko2.6381050WSep 26 · 17:00B. Zaika2.63610100O. Tymofeev1.441112123LSep 26 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.63129111153O. Tymofeev1.4414119822WSep 26 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.301112113D. Patalakha3.4071040WSep 26 · 13:00O. Osadchyi1.837117101O. Tymofeev1.8311911123WSep 16 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.911111113O. Ovsiienko1.807580WSep 16 · 15:00F. Voinarovskyi2.754680O. Tymofeev1.401111113
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