TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Kurtenko vs Oleksandr Tymofeev 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
121491111911852
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Tymofeev to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Oleksandr Tymofeev below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 5-2
Point 92 set 5, 5-2 — our read held Oleksandr Tymofeev at 67.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kurtenko 2–3 Oleksandr Tymofeev Andrii Kurtenko has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Tymofeev
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1448 vs Tymofeev 1606
Tymofeev
Wrong
both rated, 158 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 20% vs Tymofeev 100%
Tymofeev
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 40% vs Tymofeev 90%
Tymofeev
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko +1 · Tymofeev +8
Tymofeev
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Tymofeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tymofeev form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 2.63 / Tymofeev 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Tymofeev)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13196573
Kurtenko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 50 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Tymofeev1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 85 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it90% 61 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKurtenko2wins
AwayTymofeev3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderTymofeev leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTymofeev50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko1Tymofeev4n = 5Tymofeev took 4 of 5
S2Kurtenko1Tymofeev4n = 5Tymofeev took 4 of 5
S3Kurtenko3Tymofeev2n = 5Kurtenko took 3 of 5
S4Kurtenko1Tymofeev2n = 3Tymofeev took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricKurtenkoTymofeevK − TBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match35.541.5−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoTymofeevBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 671 vs 278 / 52552.3%53%351 / 671 vs 278 / 525Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TymofeevKurtenko 2.63/Tymofeev 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.7%
Tymofeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 16 · 14:00A. Kurtenko153930O. Tymofeev331111113
LSep 13 · 06:50A. Kurtenko31119921O. Tymofeev3851111113
WAug 16 · 09:20A. Kurtenko43211118113O. Tymofeev4811891192
WAug 9 · 05:50A. Kurtenko531091112113O. Tymofeev47121191052
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 26 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.9111117103S. Solomko1.80671171LSep 26 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.57101181292D. Patalakha2.251241110103LSep 24 · 11:05A. Kurtenko1.67811111292O. Leonenko2.10116414113LSep 24 · 09:35A. Kurtenko1.8311815992O. Lipeiko1.839111311113LSep 24 · 08:05A. Kurtenko3.25811114102A. Martyniuk1.33118511123WSep 24 · 06:35A. Kurtenko2.0011711113S. Solomko1.73911981LSep 24 · 05:05A. Kurtenko1.8011791192E. Populovskyi1.91411116113LSep 22 · 12:05A. Kurtenko3.00511341F. Voinarovskyi1.3611911113WSep 22 · 10:05I. Emets1.676910A. Kurtenko2.101111113WSep 22 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.678670A. Kurtenko2.101111113
O. Tymofeev10
WSep 26 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.301112113D. Patalakha3.4071040WSep 26 · 13:00O. Osadchyi1.837117101O. Tymofeev1.8311911123WSep 16 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.911111113O. Ovsiienko1.807580WSep 16 · 15:00F. Voinarovskyi2.754680O. Tymofeev1.401111113WSep 16 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.531111113A. Kurtenko2.383930WSep 16 · 13:00B. Zaika2.751011114102O. Tymofeev1.40127911123WSep 13 · 12:20O. Tymofeev1.5091113103S. Solomko2.501141181WSep 13 · 10:20O. Osadchyi1.67115591O. Tymofeev2.1091111113LSep 13 · 09:20O. Tymofeev2.25118115102E. Populovskyi1.57811611123WSep 13 · 08:20A. Martyniuk1.611110551O. Tymofeev2.2041211113
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