TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Tymofeev vs Dmytro Patalakha 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119411115511114
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:10 and never touched — 75.8% is still 75.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Tymofeev to win
75.8%
75.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Tymofeev above · Dmytro Patalakha below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 82 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Tymofeev at 75.8%
82 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Tymofeev 15–1 Dmytro Patalakha Dmytro Patalakha has won 1 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Tymofeev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-1 in 16
Tymofeev
Correct
gap of 14 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tymofeev 1600 vs Patalakha 1483
Tymofeev
Correct
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tymofeev 80% vs Patalakha 60%
Tymofeev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tymofeev 80% vs Patalakha 60%
Tymofeev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tymofeev -1 · Patalakha +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Tymofeev) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patalakha form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTymofeev 1.30 / Patalakha 3.40
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Tymofeev)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13202063
Tymofeev1.30
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite72% won 88 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it90% 45 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it89% 64 of 72
Patalakha3.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 18 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back29% 8 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTymofeev9wins
AwayPatalakha1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTymofeev leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTymofeev100%7 of 7
AwayPatalakha33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tymofeev7Patalakha3n = 10Tymofeev took 7 of 10
S2Tymofeev7Patalakha3n = 10Tymofeev took 7 of 10
S3Tymofeev7Patalakha1n = 8Tymofeev took 7 of 8
S4Tymofeev4Patalakha1n = 5Tymofeev took 4 of 5
S5Tymofeev2Patalakha1n = 3Tymofeev took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTymofeevPatalakhaT − PBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.132.4+6.7per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTymofeevPatalakhaBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 527 vs 119 / 24953.3%47.8%281 / 527 vs 119 / 249Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TymofeevTymofeev 1.30/Patalakha 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Tymofeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tymofeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 27 · 09:50O. Tymofeev42114115113D. Patalakha4091151142
WSep 26 · 14:00O. Tymofeev341112113D. Patalakha2171040
LSep 5 · 13:00O. Tymofeev42191111102D. Patalakha47111149123
WAug 2 · 09:00O. Tymofeev521112711113D. Patalakha4561411682
WJul 26 · 08:50O. Tymofeev3851111113D. Patalakha34119951
WJul 12 · 06:50O. Tymofeev331111113D. Patalakha165470
WApr 4 · 16:50O. Tymofeev3741111113D. Patalakha32116691
WFeb 8 · 11:20O. Tymofeev351311113D. Patalakha2411760
O. Tymofeev10
LSep 27 · 08:50S. Solomko2.751111183O. Tymofeev1.4044160WSep 27 · 07:50O. Osadchyi1.9171111992O. Tymofeev1.80117511113WSep 27 · 06:20A. Kurtenko2.6312119121O. Tymofeev1.4414511143WSep 26 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.441112113S. Solomko2.6381050WSep 26 · 17:00B. Zaika2.63610100O. Tymofeev1.441112123LSep 26 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.63129111153O. Tymofeev1.4414119822WSep 26 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.301112113D. Patalakha3.4071040WSep 26 · 13:00O. Osadchyi1.837117101O. Tymofeev1.8311911123WSep 16 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.911111113O. Ovsiienko1.807580WSep 16 · 15:00F. Voinarovskyi2.754680O. Tymofeev1.401111113
D. Patalakha10
WSep 27 · 08:20A. Kurtenko1.67911118102D. Patalakha2.10117911123LSep 27 · 06:50O. Osadchyi1.40811911113D. Patalakha2.7511511662WSep 27 · 05:50S. Solomko1.918780D. Patalakha1.801111113LSep 26 · 18:30O. Osadchyi1.36814118113D. Patalakha3.00111291162WSep 26 · 17:30S. Solomko1.801112351D. Patalakha1.9171411113LSep 26 · 16:00B. Zaika1.919111193D. Patalakha1.80119731LSep 26 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.301112113D. Patalakha3.4071040WSep 26 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.57101181292D. Patalakha2.251241110103WSep 6 · 11:50D. Patalakha1.501111113E. Populovskyi2.508570WSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.