TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Solomko vs Eduard Populovskyi 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Serhii Solomko
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115611115117––
Eduard Populovskyi
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:21 and never touched — 76.7% is still 76.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
76.7%
76.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Solomko above · Eduard Populovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 67 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 76.7%
67 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Solomko 31–8 Eduard Populovskyi Eduard Populovskyi has won 8 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Solomko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-8 in 39
Solomko
Correct
gap of 23 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Solomko 1532 vs Populovskyi 1401
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solomko 60% vs Populovskyi 40%
Solomko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solomko 50% vs Populovskyi 20%
Solomko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Solomko +1 · Populovskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Populovskyi form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolomko 1.30 / Populovskyi 3.40
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Solomko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13185386
Solomko1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 114 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it89% 56 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it78% 79 of 101
Populovskyi3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 46 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSolomko10wins
AwayPopulovskyi0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSolomko100%7 of 7
AwayPopulovskyi0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Solomko7Populovskyi3n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10
S2Solomko9Populovskyi1n = 10Solomko took 9 of 10
S3Solomko9Populovskyi0n = 9Solomko took 9 of 9
S4Solomko3Populovskyi1n = 4Solomko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSolomkoPopulovskyiS − PBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.027.3+10.7per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSolomkoPopulovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime534 / 1038 vs 340 / 69751.5%48.8%534 / 1038 vs 340 / 697Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoSolomko 1.30/Populovskyi 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.7%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 24 · 10:35S. Solomko3911611113E. Populovskyi28511571
WSep 21 · 11:20S. Solomko4281211113E. Populovskyi361110691
WSep 20 · 11:20S. Solomko539111110123E. Populovskyi50119812102
WSep 19 · 19:00S. Solomko331111113E. Populovskyi198740
WSep 13 · 11:20S. Solomko341112113E. Populovskyi2251070
WSep 11 · 17:30S. Solomko341211113E. Populovskyi1810440
WSep 6 · 06:20S. Solomko4181111113E. Populovskyi34117971
WSep 3 · 10:00S. Solomko331111113E. Populovskyi153840
WSep 2 · 10:35S. Solomko331111113E. Populovskyi247980
S. Solomko10
WSep 24 · 08:35O. Lipeiko1.9111129262S. Solomko1.805101111113LSep 24 · 06:35A. Kurtenko2.0011711113S. Solomko1.73911981WSep 24 · 05:35O. Leonenko2.20811119122S. Solomko1.61115711143LSep 21 · 12:20S. Hryhorenko1.731112113S. Solomko2.0071080WSep 21 · 11:20E. Populovskyi3.501110691S. Solomko1.2881211113LSep 21 · 09:50O. Leonenko2.204111113113S. Solomko1.61111351192LSep 21 · 07:50O. Osadchyi2.101111133S. Solomko1.6737110LSep 21 · 05:50A. Kurtenko2.10119411113S. Solomko1.6741111992WSep 20 · 12:50A. Kurtenko2.0013880S. Solomko1.731511113WSep 20 · 11:20S. Solomko1.229111110123E. Populovskyi4.00119812102
E. Populovskyi10
WSep 24 · 11:35O. Lipeiko1.50871381E. Populovskyi2.50111111113LSep 24 · 09:05O. Leonenko2.0011117113E. Populovskyi1.73841171WSep 24 · 07:05A. Martyniuk1.40117101182E. Populovskyi2.75811128113WSep 24 · 05:05A. Kurtenko1.8011791192E. Populovskyi1.91411116113LSep 21 · 12:50O. Osadchyi1.28115117113E. Populovskyi3.5071151182LSep 21 · 11:20E. Populovskyi3.501110691S. Solomko1.2881211113LSep 21 · 09:20S. Hryhorenko1.9111101111113E. Populovskyi1.8081213782LSep 21 · 07:20A. Kurtenko1.9111911113E. Populovskyi1.80611691LSep 21 · 06:20O. Leonenko2.2571111113E. Populovskyi1.57115881LSep 20 · 11:20S. Solomko1.229111110123E. Populovskyi4.00119812102
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