TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Lipeiko vs Eduard Populovskyi 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8117111311811––
Eduard Populovskyi
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:21 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lipeiko to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Lipeiko above · Eduard Populovskyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 80 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Lipeiko at 63.7%
80 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lipeiko 18–16 Eduard Populovskyi Eduard Populovskyi has won 16 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Lipeiko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-16 in 34
Lipeiko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lipeiko 1487 vs Populovskyi 1401
Lipeiko
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lipeiko 60% vs Populovskyi 40%
Lipeiko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lipeiko 80% vs Populovskyi 20%
Lipeiko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lipeiko +1 · Populovskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Lipeiko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLipeiko 1.50 / Populovskyi 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Lipeiko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13185389
Lipeiko1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 61 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it86% 36 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it77% 51 of 66
Populovskyi2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 46 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLipeiko6wins
AwayPopulovskyi4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLipeiko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLipeiko75%6 of 8
AwayPopulovskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lipeiko8Populovskyi2n = 10Lipeiko took 8 of 10
S2Lipeiko8Populovskyi2n = 10Lipeiko took 8 of 10
S3Lipeiko4Populovskyi6n = 10Populovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Lipeiko3Populovskyi3n = 6split evenly
S5Lipeiko1Populovskyi3n = 4Populovskyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLipeikoPopulovskyiL − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.334.3+4.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLipeikoPopulovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 524 vs 340 / 69748.7%48.8%255 / 524 vs 340 / 697Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LipeikoLipeiko 1.50/Populovskyi 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Lipeiko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Populovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 08:20O. Lipeiko331111113E. Populovskyi142390
LSep 2 · 07:05O. Lipeiko4215413372E. Populovskyi5713111111113
WAug 24 · 10:20O. Lipeiko331111113E. Populovskyi203980
LAug 17 · 12:05O. Lipeiko50111199102E. Populovskyi48591111123
WJul 23 · 11:35O. Lipeiko43111110113E. Populovskyi30481261
LMay 23 · 20:20O. Lipeiko3671131142E. Populovskyi44116115113
WMay 17 · 07:50O. Lipeiko4711129153E. Populovskyi3841011131
WApr 25 · 14:50O. Lipeiko331111113E. Populovskyi167450
LApr 24 · 11:35O. Lipeiko2165100E. Populovskyi341111123
WApr 20 · 08:35O. Lipeiko45111175113E. Populovskyi4288111142
O. Lipeiko10
WSep 24 · 09:35A. Kurtenko1.8311815992O. Lipeiko1.839111311113LSep 24 · 08:35O. Lipeiko1.9111129262S. Solomko1.805101111113WSep 24 · 07:35O. Leonenko3.7581311592O. Lipeiko1.251111811113LSep 24 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.75117110A. Martyniuk1.401311133WSep 23 · 19:00O. Lipeiko1.8081111113A. Kovalenko1.91117731WSep 23 · 17:00V. Smyk2.20871941O. Lipeiko1.61111117113WSep 23 · 15:00S. Skhabitskiy2.25571191O. Lipeiko1.5711117113WSep 23 · 14:00O. Lipeiko1.571111113M. Stetsenko2.255670WSep 23 · 13:00O. Ovsiienko2.75711371O. Lipeiko1.4011711113WSep 20 · 19:00D. Ponomarenko2.10111040O. Lipeiko1.671312113
E. Populovskyi10
LSep 24 · 10:35S. Solomko1.3011611113E. Populovskyi3.40511571LSep 24 · 09:05O. Leonenko2.0011117113E. Populovskyi1.73841171WSep 24 · 07:05A. Martyniuk1.40117101182E. Populovskyi2.75811128113WSep 24 · 05:05A. Kurtenko1.8011791192E. Populovskyi1.91411116113LSep 21 · 12:50O. Osadchyi1.28115117113E. Populovskyi3.5071151182LSep 21 · 11:20E. Populovskyi3.501110691S. Solomko1.2881211113LSep 21 · 09:20S. Hryhorenko1.9111101111113E. Populovskyi1.8081213782LSep 21 · 07:20A. Kurtenko1.9111911113E. Populovskyi1.80611691LSep 21 · 06:20O. Leonenko2.2571111113E. Populovskyi1.57115881LSep 20 · 12:20D. Khairov1.831111113E. Populovskyi1.839340
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