TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Osadchyi vs Serhii Solomko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111012111––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:06 and never touched: 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Serhii Solomko @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 1-11
Point 53 set 3, 1-11 · our read held Serhii Solomko at 60.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 65–99 Serhii Solomko Oleksandr Osadchyi has won 65 of their 164 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 06:0660.9%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 5.8pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Solomko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
65-99 in 164
Solomko
Correct
gap of 34 in 164, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1439 vs Solomko 1563
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 40% vs Solomko 100%
Solomko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 40% vs Solomko 80%
Solomko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi +1 · Solomko +5
Solomko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Solomko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 2.50 / Solomko 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Solomko)-5.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234409
Osadchyi2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 01)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 94 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back21% 24 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 71
Solomko1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 01)
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 120 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it89% 59 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it80% 85 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOsadchyi3wins
AwaySolomko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsadchyi50%3 of 6
AwaySolomko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi6Solomko4n = 10Osadchyi took 6 of 10
S2Osadchyi2Solomko8n = 10Solomko took 8 of 10
S3Osadchyi5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S4Osadchyi2Solomko4n = 6Solomko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricOsadchyiSolomkoO − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match29.836.3−6.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime446 / 861 vs 539 / 103951.8%51.9%446 / 861 vs 539 / 1039Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoOsadchyi 2.50/Solomko 1.50
Hit
What we said
60.9%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Serhii Solomko @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
0–3
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 1 · 05:05O. Osadchyi24118411S. Solomko4291111113
LSep 30 · 06:00O. Osadchyi30861151S. Solomko4211119113
LSep 29 · 08:05O. Osadchyi3711411562S. Solomko48811711113
LSep 27 · 10:20O. Osadchyi112450S. Solomko331111113
LSep 26 · 15:30O. Osadchyi227960S. Solomko331111113
WSep 21 · 07:50O. Osadchyi351111133S. Solomko2137110
LSep 20 · 06:20O. Osadchyi176740S. Solomko331111113
WSep 13 · 05:50O. Osadchyi4011711113S. Solomko32511881
LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi43111110832S. Solomko48861211113
WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi3912511113S. Solomko311011731
O. Osadchyi10
WOct 3 · 13:30O. Osadchyi1.25131210113E. Populovskyi3.7511101291WOct 1 · 09:05E. Populovskyi3.507680O. Osadchyi1.281111113LOct 1 · 07:35A. Martyniuk1.2511911113O. Osadchyi3.75611421LOct 1 · 06:05O. Leonenko2.001111113O. Osadchyi1.735890LOct 1 · 05:05S. Solomko1.6191111113O. Osadchyi2.20118411WSep 30 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.301111113E. Populovskyi3.408870WSep 30 · 09:00O. Osadchyi2.381112113O. Shyshman1.5331040LSep 30 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.671191041A. Kovalenko2.1071112113LSep 30 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.20861151S. Solomko1.6111119113LSep 30 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.53118111082O. Volynets2.38611912113
S. Solomko10
LOct 3 · 14:00A. Kovalenko2.38512114113S. Solomko1.53111091172WOct 1 · 10:33E. Populovskyi3.7533100S. Solomko1.251111123WOct 1 · 09:35O. Leonenko2.10721211S. Solomko1.67111110113WOct 1 · 08:05S. Solomko1.2891111113E. Populovskyi3.50115771WOct 1 · 06:35S. Solomko1.80114611123A. Martyniuk1.91411113102WOct 1 · 05:05S. Solomko1.6191111113O. Osadchyi2.20118411LSep 30 · 11:30A. Kovalenko2.001111113S. Solomko1.735680WSep 30 · 10:00S. Solomko2.201111113O. Volynets1.613960LSep 30 · 08:00O. Shyshman1.281613113S. Solomko3.50141130WSep 30 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.20861151S. Solomko1.6111119113
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