TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anatolii Kovalenko vs Serhii Solomko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116118––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:25 and never touched: 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnatolii Kovalenko above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 52 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Serhii Solomko at 54.9%
52 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Kovalenko 15–17 Serhii Solomko Anatolii Kovalenko has won 15 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:2554.9%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.0pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Solomko
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
15-17 in 32
Solomko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovalenko 1463 vs Solomko 1534
Solomko
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalenko 60% vs Solomko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalenko 70% vs Solomko 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalenko +2 · Solomko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Solomko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalenko 2.00 / Solomko 1.727
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Solomko)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13218437
Kovalenko2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 32 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back21% 10 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Solomko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 114 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it89% 55 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it78% 80 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalenko3wins
AwaySolomko7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalenko50%3 of 6
AwaySolomko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalenko6Solomko4n = 10Kovalenko took 6 of 10
S2Kovalenko3Solomko7n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10
S3Kovalenko9Solomko1n = 10Kovalenko took 9 of 10
S4Kovalenko2Solomko4n = 6Solomko took 4 of 6
S5Kovalenko0Solomko5n = 5Solomko took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalenkoSolomkoK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.740.8−0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalenkoSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime297 / 560 vs 540 / 104353%51.8%297 / 560 vs 540 / 1043Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoKovalenko 2.00/Solomko 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 29 · 12:05A. Kovalenko331111113S. Solomko193790
LSep 11 · 13:30A. Kovalenko206680S. Solomko331111113
LAug 31 · 08:35A. Kovalenko48611155112S. Solomko571191311133
WAug 24 · 06:30A. Kovalenko331111113S. Solomko249960
LAug 18 · 12:05A. Kovalenko46114129102S. Solomko539111011123
LAug 17 · 09:05A. Kovalenko4611911962S. Solomko51911911113
WAug 1 · 16:30A. Kovalenko4514812113S. Solomko3712111041
LJul 29 · 11:35A. Kovalenko47136111072S. Solomko531111812113
LJul 25 · 19:00A. Kovalenko4899111182S. Solomko40111125113
A. Kovalenko10
WSep 30 · 09:30E. Populovskyi1.80118101152A. Kovalenko1.91611124113WSep 30 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.671191041A. Kovalenko2.1071112113LSep 30 · 06:30A. Kovalenko2.637670O. Volynets1.441111113LSep 30 · 05:30O. Shyshman2.201313113A. Kovalenko1.61111150WSep 29 · 12:05S. Solomko1.503790A. Kovalenko2.501111113WSep 29 · 10:35A. Kovalenko3.751111113O. Volynets1.258980WSep 29 · 08:35O. Lipeiko1.61119111172A. Kovalenko2.20611513113WSep 29 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.4413660A. Kovalenko2.631511103WSep 29 · 05:35I. Emets1.839117101A. Kovalenko1.8311911123LSep 28 · 12:50A. Kovalenko2.101011291O. Lipeiko1.6712911113
S. Solomko10
WSep 30 · 10:00S. Solomko2.201111113O. Volynets1.613960LSep 30 · 08:00O. Shyshman1.281613113S. Solomko3.50141130WSep 30 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.20861151S. Solomko1.6111119113WSep 30 · 05:00E. Populovskyi3.4077100S. Solomko1.301111123LSep 29 · 12:05S. Solomko1.503790A. Kovalenko2.501111113WSep 29 · 10:05I. Emets1.5311481172S. Solomko2.38911118113WSep 29 · 08:05O. Osadchyi2.2011411562S. Solomko1.61811711113WSep 29 · 07:05S. Solomko2.381410117113O. Volynets1.53121271192WSep 29 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.001111111162S. Solomko1.73139813113LSep 27 · 11:19A. Kurtenko1.9111411973S. Solomko1.8091181152
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