TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Eduard Populovskyi vs Serhii Solomko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7117111012––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:56 and never touched: 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingEduard Populovskyi above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 58 set 3, 10-12 · our read held Serhii Solomko at 74.7%
58 points played in total.
H2H Eduard Populovskyi 8–31 Serhii Solomko Eduard Populovskyi has won 8 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:5674.7%Our read76.9%to break even at 1.30
short by 2.2pp76.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.30 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Solomko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
8-31 in 39
Solomko
Correct
gap of 23 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Populovskyi 1424 vs Solomko 1517
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Populovskyi 60% vs Solomko 80%
Solomko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Populovskyi 30% vs Solomko 60%
Solomko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Populovskyi +1 · Solomko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Solomko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Populovskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPopulovskyi 3.40 / Solomko 1.30
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Solomko)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13218401
Populovskyi3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 24)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 49 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back24% 20 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 57
Solomko1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 114 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it89% 55 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it78% 80 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePopulovskyi0wins
AwaySolomko10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePopulovskyi0%0 of 3
AwaySolomko100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Populovskyi3Solomko7n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10
S2Populovskyi1Solomko9n = 10Solomko took 9 of 10
S3Populovskyi0Solomko9n = 9Solomko took 9 of 9
S4Populovskyi1Solomko3n = 4Solomko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricPopulovskyiSolomkoP − SBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match27.338.0−10.7per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPopulovskyiSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 698 vs 537 / 103948.9%51.7%341 / 698 vs 537 / 1039Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoPopulovskyi 3.40/Solomko 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 24 · 10:35E. Populovskyi28511571S. Solomko3911611113
LSep 21 · 11:20E. Populovskyi361110691S. Solomko4281211113
LSep 20 · 11:20E. Populovskyi50119812102S. Solomko539111110123
LSep 19 · 19:00E. Populovskyi198740S. Solomko331111113
LSep 13 · 11:20E. Populovskyi2251070S. Solomko341112113
LSep 11 · 17:30E. Populovskyi1810440S. Solomko341211113
LSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi34117971S. Solomko4181111113
LSep 3 · 10:00E. Populovskyi153840S. Solomko331111113
LSep 2 · 10:35E. Populovskyi247980S. Solomko331111113
E. Populovskyi10
WSep 24 · 11:35O. Lipeiko1.50871381E. Populovskyi2.50111111113LSep 24 · 10:35S. Solomko1.3011611113E. Populovskyi3.40511571LSep 24 · 09:05O. Leonenko2.0011117113E. Populovskyi1.73841171WSep 24 · 07:05A. Martyniuk1.40117101182E. Populovskyi2.75811128113WSep 24 · 05:05A. Kurtenko1.8011791192E. Populovskyi1.91411116113LSep 21 · 12:50O. Osadchyi1.28115117113E. Populovskyi3.5071151182LSep 21 · 11:20E. Populovskyi3.501110691S. Solomko1.2881211113LSep 21 · 09:20S. Hryhorenko1.9111101111113E. Populovskyi1.8081213782LSep 21 · 07:20A. Kurtenko1.9111911113E. Populovskyi1.80611691LSep 21 · 06:20O. Leonenko2.2571111113E. Populovskyi1.57115881
S. Solomko10
WSep 30 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.20861151S. Solomko1.6111119113LSep 29 · 12:05S. Solomko1.503790A. Kovalenko2.501111113WSep 29 · 10:05I. Emets1.5311481172S. Solomko2.38911118113WSep 29 · 08:05O. Osadchyi2.2011411562S. Solomko1.61811711113WSep 29 · 07:05S. Solomko2.381410117113O. Volynets1.53121271192WSep 29 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.001111111162S. Solomko1.73139813113LSep 27 · 11:19A. Kurtenko1.9111411973S. Solomko1.8091181152WSep 27 · 10:20O. Osadchyi2.102450S. Solomko1.671111113WSep 24 · 10:35S. Solomko1.3011611113E. Populovskyi3.40511571WSep 21 · 11:20E. Populovskyi3.501110691S. Solomko1.2881211113
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