TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Eduard Populovskyi vs Oleksandr Shyshman 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711711––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:44 and never touched: 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Shyshman to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingEduard Populovskyi above · Oleksandr Shyshman below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Oleksandr Shyshman at 58.1%
56 points played in total.
H2H Eduard Populovskyi 16–17 Oleksandr Shyshman Eduard Populovskyi has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:4458.1%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 3.8pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Shyshman
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
16-17 in 33
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Populovskyi 1413 vs Shyshman 1546
Shyshman
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Populovskyi 40% vs Shyshman 60%
Shyshman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Populovskyi 30% vs Shyshman 70%
Shyshman
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Populovskyi -1 · Shyshman +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Shyshman) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPopulovskyi 2.20 / Shyshman 1.615
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Shyshman)-3.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13218460
Populovskyi2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 49 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back24% 20 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 57
Shyshman1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite44% won 11 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it58% 7 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePopulovskyi2wins
AwayShyshman8wins
Shyshman leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePopulovskyi66.7%2 of 3
AwayShyshman100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Populovskyi3Shyshman7n = 10Shyshman took 7 of 10
S2Populovskyi2Shyshman8n = 10Shyshman took 8 of 10
S3Populovskyi4Shyshman4n = 8split evenly
S4Populovskyi0Shyshman3n = 3Shyshman took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricPopulovskyiShyshmanP − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match27.435.4−8.0per matchSweeps25−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPopulovskyiShyshmanBasisWin rate · lifetime336 / 690 vs 165 / 32448.7%50.9%336 / 690 vs 165 / 324Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ShyshmanPopulovskyi 2.20/Shyshman 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Shyshman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Shyshman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJul 19 · 07:20E. Populovskyi351311113O. Shyshman2711970
LMar 31 · 11:00E. Populovskyi336611101O. Shyshman4011116123
WOct 26 · 10:20E. Populovskyi351112123O. Shyshman29910100
LSep 25 · 10:00E. Populovskyi29115851O. Shyshman4291111113
LSep 12 · 09:35E. Populovskyi33481291O. Shyshman43111110113
LSep 5 · 08:00E. Populovskyi126330O. Shyshman331111113
LAug 31 · 12:50E. Populovskyi2441280O. Shyshman361114113
LAug 24 · 11:20E. Populovskyi187830O. Shyshman331111113
E. Populovskyi10
LSep 30 · 05:00E. Populovskyi3.4077100S. Solomko1.301111123WSep 24 · 11:35O. Lipeiko1.50871381E. Populovskyi2.50111111113LSep 24 · 10:35S. Solomko1.3011611113E. Populovskyi3.40511571LSep 24 · 09:05O. Leonenko2.0011117113E. Populovskyi1.73841171WSep 24 · 07:05A. Martyniuk1.40117101182E. Populovskyi2.75811128113WSep 24 · 05:05A. Kurtenko1.8011791192E. Populovskyi1.91411116113LSep 21 · 12:50O. Osadchyi1.28115117113E. Populovskyi3.5071151182LSep 21 · 11:20E. Populovskyi3.501110691S. Solomko1.2881211113LSep 21 · 09:20S. Hryhorenko1.9111101111113E. Populovskyi1.8081213782LSep 21 · 07:20A. Kurtenko1.9111911113E. Populovskyi1.80611691
O. Shyshman10
WSep 30 · 05:30O. Shyshman2.201313113A. Kovalenko1.61111150WSep 7 · 12:05O. Shyshman1.911161111113A. Martyniuk1.8071113952LSep 7 · 10:05O. Leonenko2.381111133O. Shyshman1.5343110WSep 7 · 08:05K. Klymenko2.75139461O. Shyshman1.40111111113LSep 7 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.507860O. Ovsiienko2.501111113WSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LAug 5 · 12:05O. Shyshman1.6111711992F. Voinarovskyi2.20411611113WAug 5 · 10:05O. Osadchyi2.0069100O. Shyshman1.731111123WAug 5 · 08:05S. Solomko3.251780O. Shyshman1.331111113WAug 5 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.91141188113O. Karpenko1.80128111172
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