TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anatolii Kovalenko vs Oleh Volynets 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119118––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:29 and never touched: 73.4% is still 73.4%
Graded at full timeOleh Volynets to win
73.4%
73.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnatolii Kovalenko above · Oleh Volynets below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 58 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Oleh Volynets at 73.4%
58 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Kovalenko 3–6 Oleh Volynets Anatolii Kovalenko has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:29What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Volynets
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Volynets
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovalenko 1439 vs Volynets 1413
Kovalenko
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalenko 80% vs Volynets 20%
Kovalenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalenko 80% vs Volynets 20%
Kovalenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalenko +3 · Volynets +1
Kovalenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% · Strong (leans Volynets) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volynets form (20%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalenko 3.75 / Volynets 1.25
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Volynets)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13212608
Kovalenko3.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 28 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Volynets1.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 73 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it78% 31 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it63% 45 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKovalenko3wins
AwayVolynets6wins
3 of 9 to a deciderVolynets leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalenko50%2 of 4
AwayVolynets80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalenko4Volynets5n = 9Volynets took 5 of 9
S2Kovalenko2Volynets7n = 9Volynets took 7 of 9
S3Kovalenko1Volynets8n = 9Volynets took 8 of 9
S4Kovalenko3Volynets2n = 5Kovalenko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away444%
These 9 meetings
MetricKovalenkoVolynetsK − VBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match31.138.1−7.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalenkoVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime293 / 554 vs 322 / 60752.9%53.1%293 / 554 vs 322 / 607Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VolynetsKovalenko 3.75/Volynets 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.4%
Volynets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 11 · 10:40A. Kovalenko237880O. Volynets331111113
LMar 25 · 12:35A. Kovalenko177820O. Volynets331111113
LMar 24 · 12:30A. Kovalenko41118101112O. Volynets47711126113
LMar 17 · 12:00A. Kovalenko2581160O. Volynets351113113
LMar 10 · 13:10A. Kovalenko301010100O. Volynets361212123
WMar 2 · 06:05A. Kovalenko4211117133O. Volynets368611111
LFeb 24 · 17:40A. Kovalenko30115861O. Volynets3851111113
WJan 27 · 17:40A. Kovalenko41111126113O. Volynets47711101182
A. Kovalenko10
WSep 29 · 08:35O. Lipeiko1.61119111172A. Kovalenko2.20611513113WSep 29 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.4413660A. Kovalenko2.631511103WSep 29 · 05:35I. Emets1.839117101A. Kovalenko1.8311911123LSep 28 · 12:50A. Kovalenko2.101011291O. Lipeiko1.6712911113WSep 28 · 10:50V. Melnykov2.007590A. Kovalenko1.731111113WSep 28 · 08:50S. Skhabitskiy2.50881171A. Kovalenko1.5011114113LSep 28 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.339980M. Stetsenko3.251111113WSep 28 · 06:50O. Mytsyk2.255990A. Kovalenko1.571111113WSep 24 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy2.20311871A. Kovalenko1.6111211113WSep 24 · 10:50A. Kovalenko1.5711118113O. Mytsyk2.25781121
O. Volynets10
WSep 29 · 11:35O. Lipeiko2.631111451O. Volynets1.4471311113WSep 29 · 09:05I. Emets2.255870O. Volynets1.571111113LSep 29 · 07:05S. Solomko2.381410117113O. Volynets1.53121271192LSep 29 · 05:05O. Osadchyi1.5711912113O. Volynets2.253111061LSep 23 · 11:00D. Khairov1.91118119113O. Volynets1.8061121192LSep 23 · 10:00O. Karpenko2.001191110133O. Volynets1.73911612112LSep 23 · 08:30I. Emets2.384101111113O. Volynets1.5311127672LSep 23 · 06:30A. Troyan1.571311113O. Volynets2.2511980LSep 23 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov1.831111113O. Volynets1.838950WSep 22 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.91116111192O. Volynets1.80131148113
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