TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Melnykov vs Anatolii Kovalenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511911––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:49 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Kovalenko to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Melnykov above · Anatolii Kovalenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Anatolii Kovalenko at 54.1%
54 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Melnykov 7–9 Anatolii Kovalenko Volodymyr Melnykov has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kovalenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Kovalenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnykov 1361 vs Kovalenko 1398
Kovalenko
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnykov 60% vs Kovalenko 80%
Kovalenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnykov 50% vs Kovalenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnykov +1 · Kovalenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kovalenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnykov 2.00 / Kovalenko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kovalenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13208064
Melnykov2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 54 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back21% 19 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 57
Kovalenko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite52% won 81 of 156
Up 2–0, closes it92% 36 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it68% 56 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnykov6wins
AwayKovalenko4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMelnykov leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnykov75%3 of 4
AwayKovalenko50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnykov4Kovalenko6n = 10Kovalenko took 6 of 10
S2Melnykov5Kovalenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Melnykov6Kovalenko4n = 10Melnykov took 6 of 10
S4Melnykov3Kovalenko4n = 7Kovalenko took 4 of 7
S5Melnykov4Kovalenko1n = 5Melnykov took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnykovKovalenkoM − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.038.0+2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnykovKovalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime250 / 543 vs 289 / 54946%52.6%250 / 543 vs 289 / 549Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalenkoMelnykov 2.00/Kovalenko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Kovalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 08:20V. Melnykov531111119113A. Kovalenko4813881182
LSep 4 · 06:05V. Melnykov47961111102A. Kovalenko45111129123
LAug 16 · 09:50V. Melnykov31411791A. Kovalenko4011711113
LAug 10 · 12:20V. Melnykov33138391A. Kovalenko44111111113
WAug 7 · 09:30V. Melnykov45118411113A. Kovalenko3751111552
WJul 31 · 08:00V. Melnykov331111113A. Kovalenko239680
WJul 26 · 19:00V. Melnykov361411113A. Kovalenko2712780
LJul 6 · 08:20V. Melnykov2411670A. Kovalenko351311113
WJul 2 · 10:20V. Melnykov506111111113A. Kovalenko4411691352
WMay 3 · 10:20V. Melnykov48771211113A. Kovalenko37111110232
V. Melnykov10
WSep 28 · 09:50V. Melnykov2.631113113M. Stetsenko1.4471180LSep 28 · 08:20V. Melnykov2.2510470O. Mytsyk1.571211113WSep 28 · 06:20V. Melnykov2.501111113O. Lipeiko1.506980LSep 27 · 18:00V. Melnykov1.9191111772D. Ponomarenko1.80115811113WSep 27 · 16:30V. Melnykov1.8313116113V. Smyk1.831151121LSep 27 · 15:00V. Melnykov1.73118791S. Skhabitskiy2.0051111113LSep 27 · 13:30V. Melnykov2.75712511112M. Stetsenko1.401110117133LSep 27 · 12:00V. Melnykov2.203811111O. Ovsiienko1.6111113133WSep 25 · 11:05V. Mukhin3.4086121192V. Melnykov1.301111109113WSep 25 · 10:05V. Melnykov2.101111153O. Mytsyk1.6778130
A. Kovalenko10
WSep 28 · 08:50S. Skhabitskiy2.50881171A. Kovalenko1.5011114113LSep 28 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.339980M. Stetsenko3.251111113WSep 28 · 06:50O. Mytsyk2.255990A. Kovalenko1.571111113WSep 24 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy2.20311871A. Kovalenko1.6111211113WSep 24 · 10:50A. Kovalenko1.5711118113O. Mytsyk2.25781121WSep 24 · 09:50A. Kovalenko1.361111113M. Stetsenko3.008970LSep 24 · 08:20A. Kovalenko1.6713881182V. Melnykov2.101111119113LSep 24 · 06:20A. Kovalenko1.538540O. Ovsiienko2.381111113LSep 23 · 19:00O. Lipeiko1.8081111113A. Kovalenko1.91117731WSep 23 · 17:30A. Kovalenko1.36126116113M. Stetsenko3.00101191142
Upcoming Matches
V. Melnykov
Nothing scheduled
A. Kovalenko
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