TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Osadchyi vs Oleksandr Shyshman 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131210114––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:59 and never touched: 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Shyshman to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Oleksandr Shyshman below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 51 set 3, 11-4 · our read held Oleksandr Shyshman at 60.8%
51 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 1–2 Oleksandr Shyshman Oleksandr Osadchyi has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:5960.8%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 4.4pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Shyshman
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1427 vs Shyshman 1568
Shyshman
Wrong
both rated, 142 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 20% vs Shyshman 80%
Shyshman
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 20% vs Shyshman 70%
Shyshman
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi -3 · Shyshman +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Shyshman) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shyshman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 2.375 / Shyshman 1.533
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Shyshman)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13218462
Osadchyi2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 95 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 70
Shyshman1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite44% won 11 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it58% 7 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeOsadchyi1wins
AwayShyshman2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderShyshman leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi1Shyshman2n = 3Shyshman took 2 of 3
S2Osadchyi1Shyshman2n = 3Shyshman took 2 of 3
S3Osadchyi2Shyshman1n = 3Osadchyi took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricOsadchyiShyshmanO − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match35.542.0−6.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiShyshmanBasisWin rate · lifetime443 / 860 vs 167 / 32651.5%51.2%443 / 860 vs 167 / 326Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ShyshmanOsadchyi 2.38/Shyshman 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Shyshman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Osadchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 5 · 10:05O. Osadchyi2569100O. Shyshman341111123
LJul 19 · 05:50O. Osadchyi4611611992O. Shyshman50811911113
O. Osadchyi10
WSep 30 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.301111113E. Populovskyi3.408870LSep 30 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.671191041A. Kovalenko2.1071112113LSep 30 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.20861151S. Solomko1.6111119113LSep 30 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.53118111082O. Volynets2.38611912113WSep 29 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.67111179113I. Emets2.1078111192LSep 29 · 09:35O. Osadchyi1.61115151322O. Lipeiko2.20611171133LSep 29 · 08:05O. Osadchyi2.2011411562S. Solomko1.61811711113LSep 29 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.4413660A. Kovalenko2.631511103WSep 29 · 05:05O. Osadchyi1.5711912113O. Volynets2.253111061LSep 27 · 10:20O. Osadchyi2.102450S. Solomko1.671111113
O. Shyshman10
WSep 30 · 08:00O. Shyshman1.281613113S. Solomko3.50141130WSep 30 · 07:00E. Populovskyi2.209770O. Shyshman1.611111113WSep 30 · 05:30O. Shyshman2.201313113A. Kovalenko1.61111150WSep 7 · 12:05O. Shyshman1.911161111113A. Martyniuk1.8071113952LSep 7 · 10:05O. Leonenko2.381111133O. Shyshman1.5343110WSep 7 · 08:05K. Klymenko2.75139461O. Shyshman1.40111111113LSep 7 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.507860O. Ovsiienko2.501111113WSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LAug 5 · 12:05O. Shyshman1.6111711992F. Voinarovskyi2.20411611113WAug 5 · 10:05O. Osadchyi2.0069100O. Shyshman1.731111123
Upcoming Matches
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O. Shyshman
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