TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ihor Emets vs Serhii Solomko 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6119111181210116
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:18 and never touched: 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeIhor Emets to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Ihor Emets @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingIhor Emets above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 95 set 5, 11-6 · our read held Ihor Emets at 54.9%
95 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Emets 27–13 Serhii Solomko Serhii Solomko has won 13 of their 40 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 05:1854.9%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 7.0pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Emets
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
27-13 in 40
Emets
Correct
gap of 14 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Emets 1456 vs Solomko 1560
Solomko
Wrong
both rated, 104 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Emets 60% vs Solomko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Emets 40% vs Solomko 70%
Solomko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Emets +2 · Solomko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Emets) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEmets 1.615 / Solomko 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Emets)-7.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13261195
Emets1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 06)
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 61 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it84% 46 of 55
Solomko2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 05)
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog48% won 121 of 253
Down 0–1, comes back25% 35 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeEmets6wins
AwaySolomko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderEmets leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEmets66.7%6 of 9
AwaySolomkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Emets9Solomko1n = 10Emets took 9 of 10
S2Emets3Solomko7n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10
S3Emets5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S4Emets6Solomko2n = 8Emets took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricEmetsSolomkoE − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.335.0+2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEmetsSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 496 vs 544 / 104451.2%52.1%254 / 496 vs 544 / 1044Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
EmetsEmets 1.61/Solomko 2.20
Hit
What we said
54.9%
Emets · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Ihor Emets @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
3–2
Emets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 29 · 10:05I. Emets4111481172S. Solomko50911118113
LSep 3 · 05:00I. Emets361178101S. Solomko3951111123
WAug 27 · 05:35I. Emets331111113S. Solomko169520
WAug 18 · 10:05I. Emets3912511113S. Solomko371011971
WJul 29 · 09:05I. Emets4411139113S. Solomko379111161
LJul 23 · 10:05I. Emets1710520S. Solomko341211113
WJul 6 · 05:35I. Emets3711411113S. Solomko27511471
WJul 1 · 07:00I. Emets46111013123S. Solomko3521211101
LJun 24 · 09:30I. Emets4111115772S. Solomko49971111113
WJun 12 · 09:30I. Emets3911611113S. Solomko26611361
I. Emets10
WOct 6 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.671511781I. Emets2.1017811113WOct 6 · 09:30I. Emets1.441112113O. Leonenko2.6341060LOct 6 · 08:30I. Emets2.38117101182O. Volynets1.53611127113LOct 6 · 07:00I. Emets1.918660A. Kotiash1.801111113WOct 6 · 05:00I. Emets1.7311811113A. Kurtenko2.00611551LSep 29 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.67111179113I. Emets2.1078111192LSep 29 · 10:05I. Emets1.5311481172S. Solomko2.38911118113LSep 29 · 09:05I. Emets2.255870O. Volynets1.571111113WSep 29 · 07:35I. Emets1.44111011113O. Lipeiko2.63812581LSep 29 · 05:35I. Emets1.839117101A. Kovalenko1.8311911123
S. Solomko10
LOct 8 · 07:20O. Leonenko2.20611128113S. Solomko1.61117101142WOct 5 · 11:30A. Kovalenko2.258680S. Solomko1.571111113WOct 5 · 10:00S. Solomko1.171111113E. Populovskyi4.504270LOct 5 · 08:00O. Leonenko2.20511116153S. Solomko1.61116911132LOct 5 · 06:00O. Volynets2.101111113S. Solomko1.679930WOct 5 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov1.67971111102S. Solomko2.10111145123WOct 4 · 11:50E. Populovskyi4.333870S. Solomko1.201111113LOct 4 · 10:50S. Solomko1.801295101A. Kurtenko1.91101111123WOct 4 · 09:50S. Solomko1.5711111113O. Osadchyi2.25491131WSep 29 · 10:05I. Emets1.5311481172S. Solomko2.38911118113
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