TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Melnykov vs Vasily Kondratenko · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts 18:00Scheduled
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Head to head
11 – 23
All 34 meetings · 32.4%
Last 10 · 2–8Same side
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Neither player arrives off a win: both lost their last one. The streak signal has nobody to back here.
Compare playersPrice verdict
Value · MediumVolodymyr Melnykov at 2.10
The underdog is priced longer than what we measure says.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Round robin · match 13 of 15
5 of 15 playedGroup 12 of 17 on the day's ladder
Round robin before this match
Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.
| # | Player | W–L | Sets | To play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oleksandr Ovsiienko | 2–0 | 6–2 | 3 |
| 2 | Oleksandr Mytsyk | 2–0 | 6–4 | 3 |
| 3 | Vasiliy Smyk | 1–0 | 3–2 | 4 |
| 4 | Vasily KondratenkoThis match | 0–1 | 2–3 | 4 |
| 5 | Oleksandr Lipeiko | 0–2 | 4–6 | 3 |
| 6 | Volodymyr MelnykovThis match | 0–2 | 2–6 | 3 |
Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnykov 2.10 / Kondratenko 1.666
Setka Cup · #13276535
Melnykov2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 60 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back20% 20 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 63
Kondratenko1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 91 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it79% 65 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnykov2wins
AwayKondratenko8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKondratenko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnykov40%2 of 5
AwayKondratenko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnykov5Kondratenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Melnykov3Kondratenko7n = 10Kondratenko took 7 of 10
S3Melnykov6Kondratenko4n = 10Melnykov took 6 of 10
S4Melnykov2Kondratenko4n = 6Kondratenko took 4 of 6
S5Melnykov0Kondratenko4n = 4Kondratenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnykovKondratenkoM − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.038.2−3.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnykovKondratenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 538 vs 250 / 55445.9%45.1%247 / 538 vs 250 / 554Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 10:00V. Melnykov451011311102V. Kondratenko52128119123
WJul 15 · 06:30V. Melnykov351311113V. Kondratenko1811340
LJun 28 · 12:00V. Melnykov35781191V. Kondratenko3911116113
LJun 25 · 05:50V. Melnykov238960V. Kondratenko331111113
LJun 24 · 18:50V. Melnykov367101181V. Kondratenko4311129113
LAug 29 · 08:00V. Melnykov3212311242V. Kondratenko5310111110113
WAug 28 · 05:00V. Melnykov331111113V. Kondratenko153570
LAug 21 · 11:30V. Melnykov42113111072V. Kondratenko46511712113
LAug 8 · 07:30V. Melnykov50111011992V. Kondratenko50712911113
LAug 5 · 08:00V. Melnykov199550V. Kondratenko331111113
V. Melnykov10
LOct 11 · 13:30V. Melnykov2.259650O. Ovsiienko1.571111113LOct 11 · 12:00V. Melnykov2.2581111882O. Mytsyk1.57118911113WOct 5 · 12:50V. Melnykov2.25118911113O. Mytsyk1.5791111962LOct 5 · 10:50O. Ovsiienko1.801111113V. Melnykov1.918870WOct 5 · 08:50S. Skhabitskiy2.20461181V. Melnykov1.6111114113LOct 5 · 07:50V. Melnykov2.6311681152M. Stetsenko1.44811117113WOct 5 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.6112911121V. Melnykov2.2014119143WOct 1 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy2.255380V. Melnykov1.571111113WOct 1 · 10:50V. Melnykov2.25391111113O. Mytsyk1.5711113652WOct 1 · 09:50V. Melnykov2.251211113O. Ovsiienko1.5710760
V. Kondratenko10
LOct 11 · 12:30V. Kondratenko2.38112149102O. Ovsiienko1.537111211123WOct 10 · 11:30V. Kondratenko1.331111113V. Varchenko3.259580LOct 10 · 09:30S. Skhabitskiy1.8371111113V. Kondratenko1.83119861LOct 10 · 07:30V. Mukhin2.0011911143V. Kondratenko1.735118121LOct 10 · 06:30V. Kondratenko1.57411511102S. Osipov2.25117117123WOct 10 · 05:30V. Stukalov2.25811781V. Kondratenko1.5711611113LOct 7 · 11:05V. Mukhin2.251113113V. Kondratenko1.5741140WOct 7 · 10:05V. Kondratenko2.251111108133O. Mytsyk1.57931211112LOct 7 · 09:05V. Kondratenko1.7341311992S. Hovorunets2.001111611113LOct 7 · 07:35V. Kondratenko1.6111711572V. Stukalov2.20811711113
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