TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vasily Kondratenko vs Vasiliy Smyk · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts 14:30Scheduled
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Head to head
28 – 33
All 61 meetings · 45.9%
Last 10 · 6–4Split
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Price verdict
No edgeThe price already says it
Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Round robin · match 6 of 15
5 of 15 playedGroup 12 of 17 on the day's ladder
Round robin before this match
| # | Player | W–L | Sets | To play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oleksandr Ovsiienko | 2–0 | 6–2 | 3 |
| 2 | Oleksandr Mytsyk | 2–0 | 6–4 | 3 |
| 3 | Vasiliy SmykThis match | 1–0 | 3–2 | 4 |
| 4 | Vasily KondratenkoThis match | 0–1 | 2–3 | 4 |
| 5 | Oleksandr Lipeiko | 0–2 | 4–6 | 3 |
| 6 | Volodymyr Melnykov | 0–2 | 2–6 | 3 |
Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKondratenko 3.00 / Smyk 1.363
Setka Cup · #13276552
Kondratenko3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 26 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back15% 8 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Smyk1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 35 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKondratenko6wins
AwaySmyk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKondratenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKondratenko100%4 of 4
AwaySmyk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kondratenko4Smyk6n = 10Smyk took 6 of 10
S2Kondratenko5Smyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Kondratenko4Smyk5n = 9Smyk took 5 of 9
S4Kondratenko5Smyk1n = 6Kondratenko took 5 of 6
S5Kondratenko2Smyk1n = 3Kondratenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKondratenkoSmykK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.740.7−2.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKondratenkoSmykBasisWin rate · lifetime250 / 554 vs 266 / 63445.1%42%250 / 554 vs 266 / 634Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 9 · 14:30V. Kondratenko206770V. Smyk331111113
LDec 28 · 07:50V. Kondratenko436141581V. Smyk51111217113
WDec 27 · 18:20V. Kondratenko371411123V. Smyk30128100
LDec 20 · 19:20V. Kondratenko3784111132V. Smyk50111198113
WDec 14 · 07:20V. Kondratenko47115713113V. Smyk46811111152
WDec 13 · 18:20V. Kondratenko518101111113V. Smyk4611127792
WDec 7 · 13:20V. Kondratenko3961111113V. Smyk38119991
LDec 6 · 18:20V. Kondratenko269890V. Smyk331111113
WNov 30 · 11:50V. Kondratenko48151111113V. Smyk391361371
V. Kondratenko10
LOct 11 · 12:30V. Kondratenko2.38112149102O. Ovsiienko1.537111211123WOct 10 · 11:30V. Kondratenko1.331111113V. Varchenko3.259580LOct 10 · 09:30S. Skhabitskiy1.8371111113V. Kondratenko1.83119861LOct 10 · 07:30V. Mukhin2.0011911143V. Kondratenko1.735118121LOct 10 · 06:30V. Kondratenko1.57411511102S. Osipov2.25117117123WOct 10 · 05:30V. Stukalov2.25811781V. Kondratenko1.5711611113LOct 7 · 11:05V. Mukhin2.251113113V. Kondratenko1.5741140WOct 7 · 10:05V. Kondratenko2.251111108133O. Mytsyk1.57931211112LOct 7 · 09:05V. Kondratenko1.7341311992S. Hovorunets2.001111611113LOct 7 · 07:35V. Kondratenko1.6111711572V. Stukalov2.20811711113
V. Smyk10
WOct 11 · 13:00V. Smyk2.25111177113O. Lipeiko1.5775111182LOct 9 · 12:20V. Smyk1.918560M. Stetsenko1.801111113LOct 9 · 10:20O. Ovsiienko2.7511911113V. Smyk1.40511961LOct 9 · 09:20V. Smyk1.917111081E. Populovskyi1.8011812113LOct 9 · 08:20S. Skhabitskiy2.201111917113V. Smyk1.6158111972LOct 9 · 06:50V. Smyk1.80111481182O. Mytsyk1.91816117113WSep 30 · 18:30V. Smyk1.501111113O. Ovsiienko2.505550WSep 30 · 16:30O. Mytsyk1.73127691V. Smyk2.00101111113LSep 30 · 15:30V. Smyk1.8081116972M. Stetsenko1.911191411113WSep 30 · 14:30S. Baranskyi2.20115671V. Smyk1.6141111113
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