TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Melnykov vs Vasiliy Smyk · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts 16:30Scheduled
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Head to head
21 – 23
All 44 meetings · 47.7%
Last 10 · 4–6Same side
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Price verdict
No edgeThe price already says it
Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Round robin · match 10 of 15
5 of 15 playedGroup 12 of 17 on the day's ladder
Round robin before this match
Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.
| # | Player | W–L | Sets | To play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oleksandr Ovsiienko | 2–0 | 6–2 | 3 |
| 2 | Oleksandr Mytsyk | 2–0 | 6–4 | 3 |
| 3 | Vasiliy SmykThis match | 1–0 | 3–2 | 4 |
| 4 | Vasily Kondratenko | 0–1 | 2–3 | 4 |
| 5 | Oleksandr Lipeiko | 0–2 | 4–6 | 3 |
| 6 | Volodymyr MelnykovThis match | 0–2 | 2–6 | 3 |
Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnykov 1.909 / Smyk 1.80
Setka Cup · #13276573
Melnykov1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 60 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back20% 20 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 63
Smyk1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 35 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnykov4wins
AwaySmyk6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSmyk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnykov60%3 of 5
AwaySmyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnykov5Smyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Melnykov3Smyk7n = 10Smyk took 7 of 10
S3Melnykov4Smyk6n = 10Smyk took 6 of 10
S4Melnykov5Smyk1n = 6Melnykov took 5 of 6
S5Melnykov1Smyk3n = 4Smyk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnykovSmykM − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.838.4−1.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnykovSmykBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 538 vs 266 / 63445.9%42%247 / 538 vs 266 / 634Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 16:30V. Melnykov4113116113V. Smyk291151121
LAug 23 · 10:20V. Melnykov4071131452V. Smyk541191112113
WAug 22 · 14:30V. Melnykov485101111113V. Smyk4711129782
LAug 8 · 18:00V. Melnykov46119101152V. Smyk49911126113
LAug 4 · 16:40V. Melnykov249960V. Smyk331111113
WJul 27 · 12:20V. Melnykov331111113V. Smyk189450
WJul 26 · 13:00V. Melnykov4111811113V. Smyk31511961
LJul 19 · 16:30V. Melnykov2411580V. Smyk351311113
LJul 3 · 15:30V. Melnykov2591060V. Smyk341112113
LJun 16 · 13:10V. Melnykov46111113472V. Smyk548131111113
V. Melnykov10
LOct 11 · 13:30V. Melnykov2.259650O. Ovsiienko1.571111113LOct 11 · 12:00V. Melnykov2.2581111882O. Mytsyk1.57118911113WOct 5 · 12:50V. Melnykov2.25118911113O. Mytsyk1.5791111962LOct 5 · 10:50O. Ovsiienko1.801111113V. Melnykov1.918870WOct 5 · 08:50S. Skhabitskiy2.20461181V. Melnykov1.6111114113LOct 5 · 07:50V. Melnykov2.6311681152M. Stetsenko1.44811117113WOct 5 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.6112911121V. Melnykov2.2014119143WOct 1 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy2.255380V. Melnykov1.571111113WOct 1 · 10:50V. Melnykov2.25391111113O. Mytsyk1.5711113652WOct 1 · 09:50V. Melnykov2.251211113O. Ovsiienko1.5710760
V. Smyk10
WOct 11 · 13:00V. Smyk2.25111177113O. Lipeiko1.5775111182LOct 9 · 12:20V. Smyk1.918560M. Stetsenko1.801111113LOct 9 · 10:20O. Ovsiienko2.7511911113V. Smyk1.40511961LOct 9 · 09:20V. Smyk1.917111081E. Populovskyi1.8011812113LOct 9 · 08:20S. Skhabitskiy2.201111917113V. Smyk1.6158111972LOct 9 · 06:50V. Smyk1.80111481182O. Mytsyk1.91816117113WSep 30 · 18:30V. Smyk1.501111113O. Ovsiienko2.505550WSep 30 · 16:30O. Mytsyk1.73127691V. Smyk2.00101111113LSep 30 · 15:30V. Smyk1.8081116972M. Stetsenko1.911191411113WSep 30 · 14:30S. Baranskyi2.20115671V. Smyk1.6141111113
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