TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Maksymkiv vs Oleg Sapuzhak · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts 18:25Scheduled
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Head to head
5 – 1
All 6 meetings · 83.3%
Last 6 · 5–1Same side
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Price verdict
Value · MediumOleg Sapuzhak at 2.20
The underdog is priced longer than what we measure says.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Round robin · match 14 of 15
5 of 15 playedGroup 17 of 17 on the day's ladder
Round robin before this match
Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.
| # | Player | W–L | Sets | To play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volodymyr Vasyliev | 2–0 | 6–2 | 3 |
| 2 | Oleg SapuzhakThis match | 1–1 | 4–4 | 3 |
| 3 | Illia Fokin | 1–1 | 4–3 | 3 |
| 4 | Viktor Ivanytskyi | 1–1 | 4–5 | 3 |
| 5 | Oleh MaksymkivThis match | 0–1 | 2–3 | 4 |
| 6 | Pavlo Chyzh | 0–1 | 0–3 | 4 |
Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksymkiv 1.615 / Sapuzhak 2.20
Setka Cup · #13276405
Maksymkiv1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 120 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it92% 59 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it82% 84 of 103
Sapuzhak2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 9 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMaksymkiv5wins
AwaySapuzhak1wins
2 of 6 to a deciderMaksymkiv leads 5–1, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksymkiv100%4 of 4
AwaySapuzhakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksymkiv4Sapuzhak2n = 6Maksymkiv took 4 of 6
S2Maksymkiv4Sapuzhak2n = 6Maksymkiv took 4 of 6
S3Maksymkiv2Sapuzhak4n = 6Sapuzhak took 4 of 6
S4Maksymkiv6Sapuzhak0n = 6Maksymkiv took 6 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home467%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMaksymkivSapuzhakM − SBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match43.539.5+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksymkivSapuzhakBasisWin rate · lifetime409 / 796 vs 65 / 16351.4%39.9%409 / 796 vs 65 / 163Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.934.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 6 · 11:55O. Maksymkiv4111136113O. Sapuzhak399111181
WAug 30 · 18:55O. Maksymkiv4391112113O. Sapuzhak371181081
LAug 23 · 18:25O. Maksymkiv4578111362O. Sapuzhak521111811113
WAug 1 · 04:25O. Maksymkiv4011117113O. Sapuzhak20261111
WJul 26 · 18:25O. Maksymkiv48117712113O. Sapuzhak47611111092
WJul 19 · 15:55O. Maksymkiv4411126153O. Sapuzhak4281011131
O. Maksymkiv10
LOct 11 · 12:55O. Maksymkiv1.6797111172V. Ivanytskyi2.10111159113LOct 10 · 11:25O. Maksymkiv1.6171111582I. Fokin2.20114611113WOct 10 · 09:25P. Chyzh3.00911981O. Maksymkiv1.3611911113LOct 10 · 07:25M. Treschetka1.44111112113O. Maksymkiv2.638131041LOct 10 · 06:25O. Maksymkiv1.6725110V. Salivonchyk2.101111133WOct 10 · 05:25A. Nikolenko2.5012113642O. Maksymkiv1.501071111113LOct 8 · 10:25O. Maksymkiv3.508630O. Melnik1.281111113LOct 8 · 08:55O. Maksymkiv1.301011341O. Maslovskyi3.4012611113LOct 8 · 07:25O. Maksymkiv2.20118251V. Hel1.6191111113LOct 8 · 05:55O. Maksymkiv1.738560M. Dunas2.001111113
O. Sapuzhak10
WOct 11 · 13:55V. Ivanytskyi2.251167111O. Sapuzhak1.5791111133LOct 11 · 11:55V. Vasyliev2.10141114113O. Sapuzhak1.671271671WSep 13 · 18:25O. Sapuzhak2.6361112123V. Salivonchyk1.4411810101WSep 13 · 16:25I. Fokin2.101051271O. Sapuzhak1.67121110113LSep 13 · 15:25O. Sapuzhak2.50913611M. Treschetka1.50111111113WSep 13 · 14:25D. Belanchik1.8381080O. Sapuzhak1.831112113LSep 13 · 12:55O. Sapuzhak3.50311661V. Kheresko1.2811911113LSep 6 · 17:55O. Sapuzhak2.2010250V. Salivonchyk1.611211113WSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113
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