TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Maksymkiv vs Oleksandr Maslovskyi 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012116311411––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:44 and never touched: 73.0% is still 73.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Maksymkiv to win
73.0%
73.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Maksymkiv above · Oleksandr Maslovskyi below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 68 set 4, 4-11 · our read held Oleh Maksymkiv at 73.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Maksymkiv 60–8 Oleksandr Maslovskyi Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 8 of their 68 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:4473.0%Our read76.9%to break even at 1.30
short by 3.9pp76.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.30 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Maksymkiv
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
60-8 in 68
Maksymkiv
Wrong
gap of 52 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksymkiv 1147 vs Maslovskyi 1219
Maslovskyi
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksymkiv 0% vs Maslovskyi 60%
Maslovskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksymkiv 20% vs Maslovskyi 50%
Maslovskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksymkiv -5 · Maslovskyi -1
Maksymkiv
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% · Strong (leans Maksymkiv) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maslovskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksymkiv 1.30 / Maslovskyi 3.40
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Maksymkiv)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13261355
Maksymkiv1.30
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite68% won 124 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it90% 61 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it80% 86 of 107
Maslovskyi3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 74 of 233
Down 0–1, comes back21% 33 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaksymkiv8wins
AwayMaslovskyi2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMaksymkiv leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksymkiv87.5%7 of 8
AwayMaslovskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksymkiv8Maslovskyi2n = 10Maksymkiv took 8 of 10
S2Maksymkiv8Maslovskyi2n = 10Maksymkiv took 8 of 10
S3Maksymkiv4Maslovskyi6n = 10Maslovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Maksymkiv3Maslovskyi3n = 6split evenly
S5Maksymkiv3Maslovskyi1n = 4Maksymkiv took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaksymkivMaslovskyiMaksymkiv − MaslovskyiBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.037.1+3.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksymkivMaslovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 788 vs 444 / 88051.7%50.5%407 / 788 vs 444 / 880Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MaksymkivMaksymkiv 1.30/Maslovskyi 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73%
Maksymkiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 7 · 16:25O. Maksymkiv178630O. Maslovskyi331111113
WOct 5 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv371412113O. Maslovskyi28121060
LOct 4 · 12:25O. Maksymkiv44111181132O. Maslovskyi48851113113
WOct 2 · 13:25O. Maksymkiv48111196113O. Maslovskyi4294111172
WOct 1 · 11:25O. Maksymkiv331111113O. Maslovskyi259790
WSep 30 · 14:55O. Maksymkiv411111193O. Maslovskyi3049170
WSep 25 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv48151111113O. Maslovskyi411371381
WSep 20 · 14:28O. Maksymkiv521111109113O. Maslovskyi4178121132
WSep 3 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv45116611113O. Maslovskyi4491111672
WAug 31 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv45121111113O. Maslovskyi39149881
O. Maksymkiv10
LOct 8 · 10:25O. Maksymkiv3.508630O. Melnik1.281111113LOct 8 · 07:25O. Maksymkiv2.20118251V. Hel1.6191111113LOct 8 · 05:55O. Maksymkiv1.738560M. Dunas2.001111113LOct 8 · 04:25O. Maksymkiv2.759720S. Kryvoshyi1.401111113LOct 7 · 18:25O. Maksymkiv1.80671151V. Hel1.9111119113LOct 7 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi4.001111113O. Maksymkiv1.228630WOct 7 · 15:25O. Maksymkiv1.801111113M. Dunas1.919990LOct 7 · 14:25S. Kryvoshyi1.4481211113O. Maksymkiv2.631110581LOct 7 · 12:55O. Maksymkiv3.2511680O. Melnik1.331311113LOct 5 · 11:25O. Melnik1.3611112113O. Maksymkiv3.00481191
O. Maslovskyi10
LOct 8 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi3.009280M. Dunas1.361111113WOct 8 · 06:55O. Melnik2.001011113102O. Maslovskyi1.73129811123WOct 8 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi3.0012114113V. Hel1.361091161LOct 7 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi3.2574111142S. Kryvoshyi1.33111174113WOct 7 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi4.001111113O. Maksymkiv1.228630WOct 7 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111011123O. Melnik2.007128101LOct 7 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi3.2512951142M. Dunas1.331011118113LOct 7 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi2.757730V. Hel1.401111113LOct 5 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.53661171V. Vasyliev2.3811113113WOct 5 · 08:55V. Salivonchyk1.5751140O. Maslovskyi2.251113113
Upcoming Matches
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