TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vasil Salivonchyk vs Oleksandr Maslovskyi 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111113411––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:53 and never touched: 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeVasil Salivonchyk to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVasil Salivonchyk above · Oleksandr Maslovskyi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 55 set 3, 4-11 · our read held Vasil Salivonchyk at 56.1%
55 points played in total.
H2H Vasil Salivonchyk 48–46 Oleksandr Maslovskyi Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 46 of their 94 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:5356.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 7.6pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Salivonchyk
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
48-46 in 94
Salivonchyk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 94, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Salivonchyk 1168 vs Maslovskyi 1223
Maslovskyi
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Salivonchyk 40% vs Maslovskyi 60%
Maslovskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Salivonchyk 30% vs Maslovskyi 70%
Maslovskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Salivonchyk -1 · Maslovskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Salivonchyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maslovskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSalivonchyk 1.571 / Maslovskyi 2.25
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Salivonchyk)-7.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245397
Salivonchyk1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 78 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it84% 37 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it69% 59 of 86
Maslovskyi2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 72 of 230
Down 0–1, comes back21% 33 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSalivonchyk6wins
AwayMaslovskyi4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSalivonchyk leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSalivonchyk66.7%4 of 6
AwayMaslovskyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Salivonchyk6Maslovskyi4n = 10Salivonchyk took 6 of 10
S2Salivonchyk7Maslovskyi3n = 10Salivonchyk took 7 of 10
S3Salivonchyk4Maslovskyi6n = 10Maslovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Salivonchyk2Maslovskyi6n = 8Maslovskyi took 6 of 8
S5Salivonchyk4Maslovskyi2n = 6Salivonchyk took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSalivonchykMaslovskyiS − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.640.3+0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalivonchykMaslovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 597 vs 441 / 87653.1%50.3%317 / 597 vs 441 / 876Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SalivonchykSalivonchyk 1.57/Maslovskyi 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Salivonchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 5 · 08:55V. Salivonchyk2051140O. Maslovskyi351113113
LOct 4 · 17:55V. Salivonchyk3811116462O. Maslovskyi46761111113
LOct 1 · 09:25V. Salivonchyk4691111692O. Maslovskyi46118511113
WSep 28 · 06:25V. Salivonchyk341211113O. Maslovskyi2110650
LSep 21 · 07:35V. Salivonchyk30113971O. Maslovskyi4071111113
WSep 20 · 17:55V. Salivonchyk51119711133O. Maslovskyi45811114112
WAug 31 · 08:55V. Salivonchyk48611127123O. Maslovskyi501181011102
WAug 30 · 17:55V. Salivonchyk45111166113O. Maslovskyi4578111182
WAug 24 · 11:25V. Salivonchyk546131113113O. Maslovskyi47111151552
WAug 17 · 10:55V. Salivonchyk4011117113O. Maslovskyi28851141
V. Salivonchyk10
LOct 5 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk3.009560O. Melnik1.361111113WOct 5 · 05:55V. Salivonchyk2.101111113O. Maksymkiv1.672560WOct 5 · 04:25V. Salivonchyk1.83311811113V. Vasyliev1.8311611562LOct 4 · 17:55V. Salivonchyk1.5311116462O. Maslovskyi2.38761111113LOct 4 · 16:25V. Salivonchyk1.91410141162M. Dunas1.801112129113LOct 4 · 14:55V. Salivonchyk3.5013791132O. Melnik1.281111116113LOct 4 · 13:25V. Salivonchyk3.25591291O. Maksymkiv1.33111110113LOct 4 · 11:55V. Salivonchyk1.731011461V. Vasyliev2.0012811113WOct 1 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.20121070V. Salivonchyk1.611412113LOct 1 · 09:25V. Salivonchyk1.4491111692O. Maslovskyi2.63118511113
O. Maslovskyi10
LOct 5 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi3.50121060O. Maksymkiv1.281412113WOct 5 · 06:55H. Oliynyk1.733980O. Maslovskyi2.001111113LOct 5 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.7311116952O. Melnik2.00381111113WOct 4 · 17:55V. Salivonchyk1.5311116462O. Maslovskyi2.38761111113WOct 4 · 16:55O. Maslovskyi1.801111113O. Melnik1.919540WOct 4 · 15:55O. Maslovskyi1.57118711113V. Vasyliev2.2561111792LOct 4 · 14:25O. Maslovskyi2.7581050M. Dunas1.401112113WOct 4 · 12:25O. Maslovskyi5.50851113113O. Maksymkiv1.13111181132WOct 2 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi2.38131311123H. Oliynyk1.5315113101WOct 1 · 09:25V. Salivonchyk1.4491111692O. Maslovskyi2.63118511113
Upcoming Matches
V. Salivonchyk
O. Maslovskyi
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.