TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vasil Salivonchyk vs Oleksandr Maslovskyi 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911118115611911
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:20 and never touched: 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeVasil Salivonchyk to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVasil Salivonchyk above · Oleksandr Maslovskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 8-9
Point 89 set 5, 8-9 · our read held Vasil Salivonchyk at 64.5%
89 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Vasil Salivonchyk 48–43 Oleksandr Maslovskyi Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 43 of their 91 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:2064.5%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 4.8pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Salivonchyk
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
48-43 in 91
Salivonchyk
Wrong
gap of 5 in 91, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Salivonchyk 1222 vs Maslovskyi 1179
Salivonchyk
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Salivonchyk 40% vs Maslovskyi 100%
Maslovskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Salivonchyk 50% vs Maslovskyi 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Salivonchyk -1 · Maslovskyi +5
Maslovskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Salivonchyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maslovskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSalivonchyk 1.444 / Maslovskyi 2.625
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Salivonchyk)-4.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13224073
Salivonchyk1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 78 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it70% 58 of 83
Maslovskyi2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 67 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back20% 31 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSalivonchyk8wins
AwayMaslovskyi2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSalivonchyk leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSalivonchyk85.7%6 of 7
AwayMaslovskyi33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Salivonchyk7Maslovskyi3n = 10Salivonchyk took 7 of 10
S2Salivonchyk8Maslovskyi2n = 10Salivonchyk took 8 of 10
S3Salivonchyk5Maslovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Salivonchyk3Maslovskyi5n = 8Maslovskyi took 5 of 8
S5Salivonchyk4Maslovskyi1n = 5Salivonchyk took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSalivonchykMaslovskyiS − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.837.9+3.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalivonchykMaslovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 599 vs 435 / 87353.6%49.8%321 / 599 vs 435 / 873Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SalivonchykSalivonchyk 1.44/Maslovskyi 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Salivonchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 28 · 06:25V. Salivonchyk341211113O. Maslovskyi2110650
LSep 21 · 07:35V. Salivonchyk30113971O. Maslovskyi4071111113
WSep 20 · 17:55V. Salivonchyk51119711133O. Maslovskyi45811114112
WAug 31 · 08:55V. Salivonchyk48611127123O. Maslovskyi501181011102
WAug 30 · 17:55V. Salivonchyk45111166113O. Maslovskyi4578111182
WAug 24 · 11:25V. Salivonchyk546131113113O. Maslovskyi47111151552
WAug 17 · 10:55V. Salivonchyk4011117113O. Maslovskyi28851141
LAug 16 · 13:25V. Salivonchyk4291111652O. Maslovskyi44116511113
WAug 9 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk3911116113O. Maslovskyi31661181
WAug 3 · 08:55V. Salivonchyk351113113O. Maslovskyi2891180
V. Salivonchyk10
WOct 1 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.20121070V. Salivonchyk1.611412113LOct 1 · 08:25V. Salivonchyk1.61114371M. Dunas2.2081111113WOct 1 · 06:55V. Salivonchyk1.67111110113A. Nikolenko2.10591281LOct 1 · 04:55V. Salivonchyk1.91991191O. Maksymkiv1.8011119113LSep 28 · 10:55A. Nikolenko2.0041111113V. Salivonchyk1.73119841WSep 28 · 09:55M. Dunas2.5091131142V. Salivonchyk1.50119119113WSep 28 · 08:25H. Oliynyk1.4014760V. Salivonchyk2.751611113WSep 28 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi2.3810650V. Salivonchyk1.531211113WSep 28 · 04:25M. Treschetka2.1086100V. Salivonchyk1.671111123LSep 21 · 10:35V. Salivonchyk2.757101191V. Hel1.4011124113
O. Maslovskyi10
WOct 1 · 07:25M. Treschetka2.506990O. Maslovskyi1.501111113WOct 1 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi2.75111311113M. Dunas1.40615681WOct 1 · 05:25A. Nikolenko3.0071111382O. Maslovskyi1.36115611113WSep 30 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi2.631111123H. Oliynyk1.4474100WSep 30 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi1.361211123A. Nikolenko3.00108100LSep 30 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi4.0049170O. Maksymkiv1.221111193LSep 30 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi2.386450M. Dunas1.531111113WSep 30 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi1.5391511113M. Treschetka2.381113561LSep 28 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi2.3811611632M. Dunas1.53711811113LSep 28 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi2.3810650V. Salivonchyk1.531211113
Upcoming Matches
V. Salivonchyk
Nothing scheduled
O. Maslovskyi
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