TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Maslovskyi vs Vasil Salivonchyk 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012611511––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:22 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeVasil Salivonchyk to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Vasil Salivonchyk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 55 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Vasil Salivonchyk at 61.6%
55 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 43–48 Vasil Salivonchyk Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 43 of their 91 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:22What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Salivonchyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-48 in 91
Salivonchyk
Correct
gap of 5 in 91, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1140 vs Salivonchyk 1241
Salivonchyk
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 60% vs Salivonchyk 40%
Maslovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 60% vs Salivonchyk 40%
Maslovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi +1 · Salivonchyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Salivonchyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Salivonchyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 2.38 / Salivonchyk 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Salivonchyk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13207872
Maslovskyi2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog30% won 68 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back20% 31 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 89
Salivonchyk1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 75 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it85% 33 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it70% 55 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi2wins
AwaySalivonchyk8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSalivonchyk leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyi33.3%1 of 3
AwaySalivonchyk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi3Salivonchyk7n = 10Salivonchyk took 7 of 10
S2Maslovskyi2Salivonchyk8n = 10Salivonchyk took 8 of 10
S3Maslovskyi5Salivonchyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Maslovskyi5Salivonchyk3n = 8Maslovskyi took 5 of 8
S5Maslovskyi1Salivonchyk4n = 5Salivonchyk took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiSalivonchykM − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.941.8−3.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiSalivonchykBasisWin rate · lifetime428 / 862 vs 318 / 59349.7%53.6%428 / 862 vs 318 / 593Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SalivonchykMaslovskyi 2.38/Salivonchyk 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Salivonchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Salivonchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 28 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi2110650V. Salivonchyk341211113
WSep 21 · 07:35O. Maslovskyi4071111113V. Salivonchyk30113971
LSep 20 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi45811114112V. Salivonchyk51119711133
LAug 31 · 08:55O. Maslovskyi501181011102V. Salivonchyk48611127123
LAug 30 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi4578111182V. Salivonchyk45111166113
LAug 24 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi47111151552V. Salivonchyk546131113113
LAug 17 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi28851141V. Salivonchyk4011117113
WAug 16 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi44116511113V. Salivonchyk4291111652
LAug 9 · 16:55O. Maslovskyi31661181V. Salivonchyk3911116113
LAug 3 · 08:55O. Maslovskyi2891180V. Salivonchyk351113113
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 28 · 07:25M. Treschetka2.25710100O. Maslovskyi1.571112123WSep 28 · 05:25A. Nikolenko3.0011118692O. Maslovskyi1.36821111113LSep 25 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.8387100M. Dunas1.831111123WSep 25 · 08:55H. Oliynyk1.40810110O. Maslovskyi2.751112133LSep 25 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.001371381O. Maksymkiv1.22151111113WSep 25 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.2511118932O. Maslovskyi1.57761111113LSep 25 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi3.5034100M. Vivatenko1.281111123WSep 24 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.6781111113I. Fokin2.10117931LSep 24 · 08:55V. Ivanytskyi1.50119711113O. Maslovskyi2.5081111792WSep 24 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi1.5381213113M. Treschetka2.3811101191
V. Salivonchyk10
WSep 28 · 04:25M. Treschetka2.1086100V. Salivonchyk1.671111123LSep 21 · 10:35V. Salivonchyk2.757101191V. Hel1.4011124113LSep 21 · 09:05V. Salivonchyk2.50135115122M. Vivatenko1.501111511143LSep 21 · 07:35V. Salivonchyk1.57113971O. Maslovskyi2.2571111113WSep 21 · 06:05V. Salivonchyk2.101111133D. Kasian1.6799110LSep 21 · 04:35V. Salivonchyk3.7511791142S. Kryvoshyi1.25711116113WSep 20 · 17:55V. Salivonchyk1.53119711133O. Maslovskyi2.38811114112LSep 20 · 16:25V. Salivonchyk1.91741181O. Maksymkiv1.8011119113LSep 20 · 14:55V. Salivonchyk1.616360M. Treschetka2.201111113WSep 20 · 13:25V. Salivonchyk1.611111113I. Fokin2.207760
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