TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Maslovskyi vs Mykhailo Dunas 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117611118611311
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:22 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Dunas to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Mykhailo Dunas below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 85 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Mykhailo Dunas at 61.6%
85 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 7–9 Mykhailo Dunas Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Dunas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Dunas
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1142 vs Dunas 1134
Maslovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 40% vs Dunas 80%
Dunas
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 50% vs Dunas 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi -1 · Dunas -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Dunas) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dunas form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 2.38 / Dunas 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Dunas)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13208295
Maslovskyi2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 68 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back20% 31 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 89
Dunas1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 22 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it68% 19 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi6wins
AwayDunas4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMaslovskyi leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyi100%3 of 3
AwayDunas57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi3Dunas7n = 10Dunas took 7 of 10
S2Maslovskyi4Dunas6n = 10Dunas took 6 of 10
S3Maslovskyi7Dunas3n = 10Maslovskyi took 7 of 10
S4Maslovskyi5Dunas3n = 8Maslovskyi took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiDunasM − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.536.7−1.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiDunasBasisWin rate · lifetime429 / 864 vs 41 / 9249.7%44.6%429 / 864 vs 41 / 92Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DunasMaslovskyi 2.38/Dunas 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Dunas · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dunas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi2587100M. Dunas341111123
WSep 24 · 06:55O. Maslovskyi4071111113M. Dunas31117941
LSep 23 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi239860M. Dunas331111113
LSep 17 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi24531151M. Dunas4111118113
WSep 16 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi451110112113M. Dunas4561271192
WSep 10 · 08:55O. Maslovskyi4211116143M. Dunas316211121
WSep 9 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi4212613113M. Dunas3510111131
WSep 3 · 08:55O. Maslovskyi4291111113M. Dunas34118781
LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi25241181M. Dunas4211119113
WAug 31 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi47101411123M. Dunas4112127101
O. Maslovskyi10
LSep 28 · 09:25H. Oliynyk1.611111113O. Maslovskyi2.208040WSep 28 · 07:25M. Treschetka2.25710100O. Maslovskyi1.571112123LSep 28 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi2.3810650V. Salivonchyk1.531211113WSep 28 · 05:25A. Nikolenko3.0011118692O. Maslovskyi1.36821111113LSep 25 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.8387100M. Dunas1.831111123WSep 25 · 08:55H. Oliynyk1.40810110O. Maslovskyi2.751112133LSep 25 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.001371381O. Maksymkiv1.22151111113WSep 25 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.2511118932O. Maslovskyi1.57761111113LSep 25 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi3.5034100M. Vivatenko1.281111123WSep 24 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.6781111113I. Fokin2.10117931
M. Dunas10
LSep 28 · 09:55M. Dunas2.5091131142V. Salivonchyk1.50119119113WSep 28 · 07:55A. Nikolenko2.256970M. Dunas1.571111113WSep 28 · 05:55M. Treschetka1.575511101M. Dunas2.2511116123WSep 28 · 04:55H. Oliynyk1.368860M. Dunas3.001111113WSep 25 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.8387100M. Dunas1.831111123LSep 25 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.331111113M. Dunas3.257960LSep 25 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.5711911113M. Dunas2.25911971LSep 25 · 06:25M. Vivatenko1.53101111113M. Dunas2.38122771LSep 25 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.4011112113M. Dunas2.75641161WSep 24 · 10:25V. Ivanytskyi1.911111121462M. Dunas1.801371016113
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