TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viktor Ivanytskyi vs Mykhailo Dunas 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
111311712101416611
Mykhailo Dunas
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:53 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Dunas to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Ivanytskyi above · Mykhailo Dunas below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 14-16
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 111 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Mykhailo Dunas at 54.1%
111 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ivanytskyi 3–5 Mykhailo Dunas Viktor Ivanytskyi has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:53What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dunas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Dunas
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivanytskyi 1077 vs Dunas 1115
Dunas
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivanytskyi 60% vs Dunas 40%
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivanytskyi 60% vs Dunas 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivanytskyi +2 · Dunas +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dunas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dunas form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvanytskyi 1.91 / Dunas 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dunas)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13185268
Ivanytskyi1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 24 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back19% 5 of 26
Dunas1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 19 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeIvanytskyi3wins
AwayDunas5wins
3 of 8 to a deciderDunas leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvanytskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDunas66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivanytskyi2Dunas6n = 8Dunas took 6 of 8
S2Ivanytskyi4Dunas4n = 8split evenly
S3Ivanytskyi4Dunas4n = 8split evenly
S4Ivanytskyi2Dunas4n = 6Dunas took 4 of 6
S5Ivanytskyi2Dunas1n = 3Ivanytskyi took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricIvanytskyiDunasI − DBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match37.941.4−3.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvanytskyiDunasBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 197 vs 37 / 8358.9%44.6%116 / 197 vs 37 / 83Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DunasIvanytskyi 1.91/Dunas 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dunas · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dunas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 24 · 10:25V. Ivanytskyi541111121462M. Dunas571371016113
WSep 23 · 15:25V. Ivanytskyi49711911113M. Dunas4511911592
LSep 17 · 04:25V. Ivanytskyi319101111M. Dunas4111127113
LSep 16 · 13:55V. Ivanytskyi34119591M. Dunas4181111113
WSep 10 · 07:25V. Ivanytskyi351113113M. Dunas2441190
LSep 9 · 18:55V. Ivanytskyi388118111M. Dunas4311811133
WSep 3 · 04:25V. Ivanytskyi37041111113M. Dunas4611119692
LSep 2 · 17:25V. Ivanytskyi2581070M. Dunas341112113
V. Ivanytskyi10
WSep 24 · 08:55V. Ivanytskyi1.50119711113O. Maslovskyi2.5081111792WSep 24 · 07:25V. Ivanytskyi1.57811114113Y. Shcherbak2.2511771182LSep 24 · 05:55V. Ivanytskyi2.6364120M. Treschetka1.441111143WSep 24 · 04:25V. Ivanytskyi2.001111123I. Fokin1.7356100LSep 23 · 18:25V. Ivanytskyi2.1081171292I. Fokin1.671191110113WSep 23 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi2.509111191V. Ivanytskyi1.5011137113WSep 23 · 15:25V. Ivanytskyi2.25711911113M. Dunas1.5711911592WSep 23 · 14:25A. Nikolenko2.75412381V. Ivanytskyi1.40111011113LSep 23 · 12:55V. Ivanytskyi2.505350M. Treschetka1.501111113LSep 17 · 10:25V. Ivanytskyi1.50511981Y. Shcherbak2.5011711113
M. Dunas10
WSep 24 · 09:25M. Dunas1.25961112113Y. Shcherbak3.75111161072WSep 24 · 08:25M. Dunas1.731111113I. Fokin2.006250LSep 24 · 06:55M. Dunas1.57117941O. Maslovskyi2.2571111113LSep 24 · 04:55M. Dunas2.20411561M. Treschetka1.6111911113LSep 23 · 18:55M. Treschetka1.57411119113M. Dunas2.2511981182WSep 23 · 17:25M. Dunas1.91101711113I. Fokin1.801215991LSep 23 · 15:25V. Ivanytskyi2.25711911113M. Dunas1.5711911592WSep 23 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi2.009860M. Dunas1.731111113LSep 23 · 12:25A. Nikolenko2.5081214113M. Dunas1.5011101231WSep 17 · 10:55A. Nikolenko2.25911481M. Dunas1.5711311113
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