TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykolay Treschetka vs Mykhailo Dunas 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411119118911118
Mykhailo Dunas
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:48 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeMykolay Treschetka to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Mykhailo Dunas below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 93 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Mykolay Treschetka at 60.1%
93 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 6–3 Mykhailo Dunas Mykhailo Dunas has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:48What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Treschetka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Treschetka
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1193 vs Dunas 1108
Treschetka
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 80% vs Dunas 60%
Treschetka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 50% vs Dunas 80%
Dunas
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka +4 · Dunas +1
Treschetka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Treschetka) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dunas form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 1.57 / Dunas 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Treschetka)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13179990
Treschetka1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 65 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it82% 46 of 56
Dunas2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog32% won 12 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back11% 3 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeTreschetka6wins
AwayDunas3wins
4 of 9 to a deciderTreschetka leads 6–3, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetka100%3 of 3
AwayDunas50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka3Dunas6n = 9Dunas took 6 of 9
S2Treschetka6Dunas3n = 9Treschetka took 6 of 9
S3Treschetka6Dunas3n = 9Treschetka took 6 of 9
S4Treschetka3Dunas3n = 6split evenly
S5Treschetka3Dunas1n = 4Treschetka took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricTreschetkaDunasT − DBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match39.036.8+2.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaDunasBasisWin rate · lifetime469 / 934 vs 34 / 7850.2%43.6%469 / 934 vs 34 / 78Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TreschetkaTreschetka 1.57/Dunas 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Treschetka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Treschetka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 23 · 18:55M. Treschetka46411119113M. Dunas4711981182
WSep 3 · 10:25M. Treschetka331111113M. Dunas216780
WSep 2 · 13:25M. Treschetka3851111113M. Dunas26119421
WAug 31 · 04:55M. Treschetka50913512113M. Dunas521111111092
LAug 30 · 18:25M. Treschetka2812970M. Dunas361411113
LAug 28 · 05:55M. Treschetka32491721M. Dunas48111115113
WAug 27 · 12:25M. Treschetka331111113M. Dunas178360
WAug 20 · 04:25M. Treschetka47111195113M. Dunas3885111132
LAug 14 · 04:25M. Treschetka44413111152M. Dunas46111545113
M. Treschetka10
WSep 23 · 16:55A. Nikolenko2.755114111M. Treschetka1.4011711133WSep 23 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi1.5067111172M. Treschetka2.50111189113WSep 23 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.501111113I. Fokin2.508790WSep 23 · 12:55V. Ivanytskyi2.505350M. Treschetka1.501111113LSep 20 · 16:53O. Maslovskyi1.571111113M. Treschetka2.255670WSep 20 · 14:55V. Salivonchyk1.616360M. Treschetka2.201111113LSep 20 · 13:55M. Treschetka2.5011128962V. Kheresko1.50710111193LSep 20 · 12:55O. Maksymkiv2.751113119113M. Treschetka1.4091561182LSep 18 · 10:25M. Treschetka5.00126101392H. Oliynyk1.1410111211113LSep 18 · 08:55M. Treschetka2.633130M. Vivatenko1.441111113
M. Dunas10
WSep 23 · 17:25M. Dunas1.91101711113I. Fokin1.801215991LSep 23 · 15:25V. Ivanytskyi2.25711911113M. Dunas1.5711911592WSep 23 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi2.009860M. Dunas1.731111113LSep 23 · 12:25A. Nikolenko2.5081214113M. Dunas1.5011101231WSep 17 · 10:55A. Nikolenko2.25911481M. Dunas1.5711311113WSep 17 · 09:55B. Pyrtyk2.509940M. Dunas1.501111113WSep 17 · 08:25Y. Shcherbak3.251011771M. Dunas1.3312711113WSep 17 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi1.73531151M. Dunas2.0011118113WSep 17 · 04:25V. Ivanytskyi1.919101111M. Dunas1.8011127113WSep 16 · 18:25Y. Shcherbak2.20511931M. Dunas1.6111611113
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