TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Maslovskyi vs Mykolay Treschetka 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611711118119711
Mykolay Treschetka
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:08 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Maslovskyi to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Mykolay Treschetka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 92 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Maslovskyi at 63.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 93–43 Mykolay Treschetka Mykolay Treschetka has won 43 of their 136 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:08What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Maslovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
93-43 in 136
Maslovskyi
Wrong
gap of 50 in 136, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1140 vs Treschetka 1168
Treschetka
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 60% vs Treschetka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 40% vs Treschetka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi -1 · Treschetka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Maslovskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Treschetka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 1.50 / Treschetka 2.50
Signal prob.62% / 39%
Edge (Maslovskyi)-1.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13180025
Maslovskyi1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 114 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it94% 62 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it85% 82 of 96
Treschetka2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 83 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi8wins
AwayTreschetka2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMaslovskyi leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyi85.7%6 of 7
AwayTreschetka33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi7Treschetka3n = 10Maslovskyi took 7 of 10
S2Maslovskyi6Treschetka4n = 10Maslovskyi took 6 of 10
S3Maslovskyi5Treschetka5n = 10split evenly
S4Maslovskyi5Treschetka3n = 8Maslovskyi took 5 of 8
S5Maslovskyi3Treschetka1n = 4Maslovskyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiTreschetkaM − TBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.636.3+6.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiTreschetkaBasisWin rate · lifetime426 / 857 vs 466 / 93149.7%50.1%426 / 857 vs 466 / 931Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaslovskyiMaslovskyi 1.50/Treschetka 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.5%
Maslovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Treschetka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 20 · 16:53O. Maslovskyi331111113M. Treschetka185670
WSep 18 · 07:25O. Maslovskyi4312119113M. Treschetka341051181
WSep 3 · 06:55O. Maslovskyi50111189113M. Treschetka4165111182
LSep 2 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi27115471M. Treschetka3851111113
WAug 31 · 06:55O. Maslovskyi531111119113M. Treschetka3913461152
WAug 28 · 07:25O. Maslovskyi3813113113M. Treschetka391191181
WAug 27 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi521181111113M. Treschetka4213119812
LAug 24 · 07:25O. Maslovskyi4571181182M. Treschetka47118116113
WAug 20 · 08:55O. Maslovskyi4211911113M. Treschetka29411591
O. Maslovskyi10
LSep 23 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi2.009860M. Dunas1.731111113WSep 23 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi1.831118113I. Fokin1.8371620LSep 21 · 11:35O. Maslovskyi2.5013880D. Kasian1.501511113WSep 21 · 09:35V. Hel1.28111111972O. Maslovskyi3.50139611113WSep 21 · 07:35V. Salivonchyk1.57113971O. Maslovskyi2.2571111113LSep 21 · 06:35O. Maslovskyi3.00711981S. Kryvoshyi1.3611511113LSep 21 · 05:35M. Vivatenko1.2811118113O. Maslovskyi3.50881171LSep 20 · 17:55V. Salivonchyk1.53119711133O. Maslovskyi2.38811114112WSep 20 · 16:53O. Maslovskyi1.571111113M. Treschetka2.255670LSep 20 · 15:55O. Maslovskyi3.2591181192V. Kheresko1.33119115113
M. Treschetka10
WSep 23 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.501111113I. Fokin2.508790WSep 23 · 12:55V. Ivanytskyi2.505350M. Treschetka1.501111113LSep 20 · 16:53O. Maslovskyi1.571111113M. Treschetka2.255670WSep 20 · 14:55V. Salivonchyk1.616360M. Treschetka2.201111113LSep 20 · 13:55M. Treschetka2.5011128962V. Kheresko1.50710111193LSep 20 · 12:55O. Maksymkiv2.751113119113M. Treschetka1.4091561182LSep 18 · 10:25M. Treschetka5.00126101392H. Oliynyk1.1410111211113LSep 18 · 08:55M. Treschetka2.633130M. Vivatenko1.441111113LSep 18 · 07:25M. Treschetka2.201051181O. Maslovskyi1.6112119113WSep 18 · 05:55M. Treschetka1.5081111153I. Fokin2.501135131
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