TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykhailo Dunas vs Yuriy Shcherbak 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Mykhailo Dunas
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9116111161210117
Yuriy Shcherbak
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:54 and never touched — 77.8% is still 77.8%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Dunas to win
77.8%
77.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Dunas above · Yuriy Shcherbak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Mykhailo Dunas at 77.8%
94 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Dunas 2–0 Yuriy Shcherbak Yuriy Shcherbak has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:54What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Dunas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dunas 1100 vs Shcherbak 887
Dunas
Correct
both rated, 213 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dunas 40% vs Shcherbak 20%
Dunas
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dunas 50% vs Shcherbak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dunas +1 · Shcherbak -4
Shcherbak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Dunas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dunas form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDunas 1.25 / Shcherbak 3.75
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Dunas)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13185237
Dunas1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 19 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Shcherbak3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog24% won 24 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back12% 9 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDunas2wins
AwayShcherbak0wins
Dunas leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricDunasShcherbakD − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match40.031.5+8.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDunasShcherbakBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 81 vs 146 / 27543.2%53.1%35 / 81 vs 146 / 275Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.335.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DunasDunas 1.25/Shcherbak 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.8%
Dunas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dunas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 17 · 08:25M. Dunas4112711113Y. Shcherbak351011771
WSep 16 · 18:25M. Dunas3911611113Y. Shcherbak28511931
M. Dunas10
WSep 24 · 10:25V. Ivanytskyi1.911111121462M. Dunas1.801371016113WSep 24 · 08:25M. Dunas1.731111113I. Fokin2.006250LSep 24 · 06:55M. Dunas1.57117941O. Maslovskyi2.2571111113LSep 24 · 04:55M. Dunas2.20411561M. Treschetka1.6111911113LSep 23 · 18:55M. Treschetka1.57411119113M. Dunas2.2511981182WSep 23 · 17:25M. Dunas1.91101711113I. Fokin1.801215991LSep 23 · 15:25V. Ivanytskyi2.25711911113M. Dunas1.5711911592WSep 23 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi2.009860M. Dunas1.731111113LSep 23 · 12:25A. Nikolenko2.5081214113M. Dunas1.5011101231WSep 17 · 10:55A. Nikolenko2.25911481M. Dunas1.5711311113
Y. Shcherbak10
LSep 24 · 07:25V. Ivanytskyi1.57811114113Y. Shcherbak2.2511771182LSep 24 · 06:25Y. Shcherbak3.751111101042I. Fokin1.25591212113LSep 24 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.2561111113Y. Shcherbak3.75117481LSep 22 · 10:55O. Martynenko1.7311512113Y. Shcherbak2.009111091WSep 22 · 09:55B. Pyrtyk2.20107100Y. Shcherbak1.611211123LSep 22 · 08:25R. Skoropad2.501112113Y. Shcherbak1.5081060WSep 22 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk4.00911761Y. Shcherbak1.2211811113WSep 22 · 04:25M. Senyk7.00781191Y. Shcherbak1.0811115113WSep 17 · 10:25V. Ivanytskyi1.50511981Y. Shcherbak2.5011711113LSep 17 · 09:25Y. Shcherbak3.4010990O. Maslovskyi1.301211113
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