TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Hryhoriy Oliynyk vs Mykhailo Dunas 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116114211116––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:11 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeHryhoriy Oliynyk to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Mykhailo Dunas below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 62 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Hryhoriy Oliynyk at 59.7%
62 points played in total.
H2H Hryhoriy Oliynyk 1–0 Mykhailo Dunas Mykhailo Dunas has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:11What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Oliynyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Oliynyk 1247 vs Dunas 1115
Oliynyk
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oliynyk 40% vs Dunas 60%
Dunas
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oliynyk 50% vs Dunas 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oliynyk +1 · Dunas +3
Dunas
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Oliynyk) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dunas form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOliynyk 1.40 / Dunas 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Oliynyk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13190517
Oliynyk1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 18) · back after a break
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 30 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it72% 23 of 32
Dunas2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 13 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOliynyk1wins
AwayDunas0wins
Oliynyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricOliynykDunasO − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.034.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOliynykDunasBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 224 vs 37 / 8350.9%44.6%114 / 224 vs 37 / 83Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OliynykOliynyk 1.40/Dunas 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.1%
Oliynyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Oliynyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 27 · 14:25H. Oliynyk4311912113M. Dunas344111091
H. Oliynyk10
WSep 25 · 05:55H. Oliynyk1.501111113O. Maksymkiv2.505840WSep 18 · 10:25M. Treschetka5.00126101392H. Oliynyk1.1410111211113LSep 18 · 09:25H. Oliynyk1.33118941O. Maslovskyi3.2541111113LSep 18 · 08:25H. Oliynyk1.501196101V. Kheresko2.5061111123WSep 18 · 06:55H. Oliynyk2.751111113M. Vivatenko1.407860LSep 18 · 04:55H. Oliynyk1.53111111962I. Fokin2.38541311113WSep 14 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.171211113M. Treschetka4.5010420LSep 14 · 08:55H. Oliynyk2.755101111142M. Vivatenko1.40111275163WSep 14 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.44111188113V. Kheresko2.6323111192LSep 14 · 05:55H. Oliynyk1.61116951I. Fokin2.2051111113
M. Dunas10
WSep 24 · 10:25V. Ivanytskyi1.911111121462M. Dunas1.801371016113WSep 24 · 09:25M. Dunas1.25961112113Y. Shcherbak3.75111161072WSep 24 · 08:25M. Dunas1.731111113I. Fokin2.006250LSep 24 · 06:55M. Dunas1.57117941O. Maslovskyi2.2571111113LSep 24 · 04:55M. Dunas2.20411561M. Treschetka1.6111911113LSep 23 · 18:55M. Treschetka1.57411119113M. Dunas2.2511981182WSep 23 · 17:25M. Dunas1.91101711113I. Fokin1.801215991LSep 23 · 15:25V. Ivanytskyi2.25711911113M. Dunas1.5711911592WSep 23 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi2.009860M. Dunas1.731111113LSep 23 · 12:25A. Nikolenko2.5081214113M. Dunas1.5011101231
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