TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anatolii Nikolenko vs Vasil Salivonchyk 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411119118114––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:54 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeVasil Salivonchyk to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Vasil Salivonchyk @ 1.73 · Lost
How it is goingAnatolii Nikolenko above · Vasil Salivonchyk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 69 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Vasil Salivonchyk at 56.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nikolenko 19–12 Vasil Salivonchyk Vasil Salivonchyk has won 12 of their 31 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 09:54What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Salivonchyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-12 in 31
Nikolenko
Correct
gap of 7 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nikolenko 1007 vs Salivonchyk 1261
Salivonchyk
Wrong
both rated, 254 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nikolenko 20% vs Salivonchyk 80%
Salivonchyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nikolenko 30% vs Salivonchyk 60%
Salivonchyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nikolenko -2 · Salivonchyk +4
Salivonchyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Salivonchyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Salivonchyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNikolenko 2.00 / Salivonchyk 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Salivonchyk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13207721
Nikolenko2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog31% won 36 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Salivonchyk1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite60% won 75 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it85% 33 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it70% 55 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNikolenko6wins
AwaySalivonchyk4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNikolenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNikolenko100%4 of 4
AwaySalivonchyk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nikolenko4Salivonchyk6n = 10Salivonchyk took 6 of 10
S2Nikolenko6Salivonchyk4n = 10Nikolenko took 6 of 10
S3Nikolenko8Salivonchyk2n = 10Nikolenko took 8 of 10
S4Nikolenko5Salivonchyk1n = 6Nikolenko took 5 of 6
S5Nikolenko1Salivonchyk3n = 4Salivonchyk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNikolenkoSalivonchykN − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.235.2+4.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNikolenkoSalivonchykBasisWin rate · lifetime316 / 676 vs 320 / 59546.8%53.8%316 / 676 vs 320 / 595Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SalivonchykNikolenko 2.00/Salivonchyk 1.73
Miss
What we said
56.5%
Salivonchyk · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Vasil Salivonchyk @ 1.73 · Lost
What happened
3–1
Nikolenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 22 · 05:55A. Nikolenko463111110112V. Salivonchyk51117812133
LJun 21 · 11:55A. Nikolenko197570V. Salivonchyk331111113
WJun 15 · 07:25A. Nikolenko331111113V. Salivonchyk199280
WJun 14 · 15:55A. Nikolenko4011117113V. Salivonchyk24461131
LMay 25 · 07:25A. Nikolenko44103111192V. Salivonchyk44121191113
WApr 20 · 05:55A. Nikolenko3961111113V. Salivonchyk27117361
WNov 22 · 08:35A. Nikolenko50881211113V. Salivonchyk44111110482
WNov 8 · 11:25A. Nikolenko331111113V. Salivonchyk239680
WNov 2 · 17:55A. Nikolenko361113123V. Salivonchyk28711100
LOct 26 · 12:55A. Nikolenko5289151552V. Salivonchyk5911111313113
A. Nikolenko10
LSep 28 · 08:55M. Treschetka1.5311411113A. Nikolenko2.38911961LSep 28 · 07:55A. Nikolenko2.256970M. Dunas1.571111113WSep 28 · 06:55H. Oliynyk1.4411951252A. Nikolenko2.639111110113LSep 28 · 05:25A. Nikolenko3.0011118692O. Maslovskyi1.36821111113LSep 23 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi1.3671111133A. Nikolenko3.001189111LSep 23 · 16:55A. Nikolenko2.755114111M. Treschetka1.4011711133WSep 23 · 15:55A. Nikolenko1.80661111113I. Fokin1.9111118962LSep 23 · 14:25A. Nikolenko2.75412381V. Ivanytskyi1.40111011113WSep 23 · 12:25A. Nikolenko2.5081214113M. Dunas1.5011101231LSep 17 · 10:55A. Nikolenko2.25911481M. Dunas1.5711311113
V. Salivonchyk10
WSep 28 · 09:55M. Dunas2.5091131142V. Salivonchyk1.50119119113WSep 28 · 08:25H. Oliynyk1.4014760V. Salivonchyk2.751611113WSep 28 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi2.3810650V. Salivonchyk1.531211113WSep 28 · 04:25M. Treschetka2.1086100V. Salivonchyk1.671111123LSep 21 · 10:35V. Salivonchyk2.757101191V. Hel1.4011124113LSep 21 · 09:05V. Salivonchyk2.50135115122M. Vivatenko1.501111511143LSep 21 · 07:35V. Salivonchyk1.57113971O. Maslovskyi2.2571111113WSep 21 · 06:05V. Salivonchyk2.101111133D. Kasian1.6799110LSep 21 · 04:35V. Salivonchyk3.7511791142S. Kryvoshyi1.25711116113WSep 20 · 17:55V. Salivonchyk1.53119711133O. Maslovskyi2.38811114112
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