TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Hryhoriy Oliynyk vs Oleksandr Maslovskyi 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311911811––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:43 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHryhoriy Oliynyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Oleksandr Maslovskyi below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 53 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Hryhoriy Oliynyk at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Hryhoriy Oliynyk 14–10 Oleksandr Maslovskyi Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:4354.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Oliynyk
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
14-10 in 24
Oliynyk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oliynyk 1145 vs Maslovskyi 1225
Maslovskyi
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oliynyk 40% vs Maslovskyi 60%
Maslovskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oliynyk 30% vs Maslovskyi 60%
Maslovskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oliynyk +1 · Maslovskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Oliynyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oliynyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOliynyk 1.727 / Maslovskyi 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Maslovskyi)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245068
Oliynyk1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 35 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it85% 23 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it69% 27 of 39
Maslovskyi2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 72 of 230
Down 0–1, comes back21% 33 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOliynyk4wins
AwayMaslovskyi6wins
Maslovskyi leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOliynyk60%3 of 5
AwayMaslovskyi80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oliynyk5Maslovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Oliynyk4Maslovskyi6n = 10Maslovskyi took 6 of 10
S3Oliynyk4Maslovskyi6n = 10Maslovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Oliynyk2Maslovskyi3n = 5Maslovskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricOliynykMaslovskyiO − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.532.0+0.5per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOliynykMaslovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 236 vs 440 / 87448.3%50.3%114 / 236 vs 440 / 874Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
OliynykOliynyk 1.73/Maslovskyi 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Oliynyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 5 · 06:55H. Oliynyk203980O. Maslovskyi331111113
LOct 2 · 17:55H. Oliynyk3915113101O. Maslovskyi49131311123
LSep 30 · 17:55H. Oliynyk2174100O. Maslovskyi341111123
WSep 28 · 09:25H. Oliynyk331111113O. Maslovskyi128040
LSep 25 · 08:55H. Oliynyk29810110O. Maslovskyi361112133
LSep 18 · 09:25H. Oliynyk32118941O. Maslovskyi3741111113
WAug 27 · 16:25H. Oliynyk4171111123O. Maslovskyi321129101
WAug 13 · 14:55H. Oliynyk331111113O. Maslovskyi175660
LJun 1 · 05:25H. Oliynyk367116121O. Maslovskyi4011411143
WApr 2 · 11:55H. Oliynyk4111711123O. Maslovskyi305114101
H. Oliynyk10
WOct 5 · 04:55H. Oliynyk1.831111113O. Maksymkiv1.838330LOct 2 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi2.38131311123H. Oliynyk1.5315113101LOct 2 · 16:55H. Oliynyk1.912670M. Dunas1.801111113WOct 2 · 15:55H. Oliynyk1.801311123V. Hel1.91118100LOct 2 · 14:25H. Oliynyk1.575880A. Nikolenko2.251111113LOct 2 · 12:25H. Oliynyk1.671011971O. Maksymkiv2.1012911113LSep 30 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi2.631111123H. Oliynyk1.4474100LSep 30 · 16:55H. Oliynyk1.40101130O. Maksymkiv2.751213113WSep 30 · 15:55H. Oliynyk1.17911511113M. Treschetka4.5011811682LSep 30 · 14:25H. Oliynyk1.5311811462A. Nikolenko2.38911811113
O. Maslovskyi10
LOct 5 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.7311116952O. Melnik2.00381111113WOct 4 · 17:55V. Salivonchyk1.5311116462O. Maslovskyi2.38761111113WOct 4 · 16:55O. Maslovskyi1.801111113O. Melnik1.919540WOct 4 · 15:55O. Maslovskyi1.57118711113V. Vasyliev2.2561111792LOct 4 · 14:25O. Maslovskyi2.7581050M. Dunas1.401112113WOct 4 · 12:25O. Maslovskyi5.50851113113O. Maksymkiv1.13111181132WOct 2 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi2.38131311123H. Oliynyk1.5315113101WOct 2 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi1.36116101393A. Nikolenko3.00611121162LOct 2 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi2.506650M. Dunas1.501111113WSep 30 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi2.631111123H. Oliynyk1.4474100
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