TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Maslovskyi vs Volodymyr Vasyliev 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611611113711––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:53 and never touched: 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Maslovskyi to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Volodymyr Vasyliev below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 66 set 4, 7-11 · our read held Oleksandr Maslovskyi at 62.4%
66 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 10–5 Volodymyr Vasyliev Volodymyr Vasyliev has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:5362.4%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 2.8pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Maslovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-5 in 15
Maslovskyi
Wrong
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1223 vs Vasyliev 1120
Maslovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 60% vs Vasyliev 20%
Maslovskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 70% vs Vasyliev 30%
Maslovskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi +1 · Vasyliev -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Maslovskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasyliev form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 1.533 / Vasyliev 2.375
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Maslovskyi)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245115
Maslovskyi1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 117 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it95% 59 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it86% 81 of 94
Vasyliev2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 23 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back20% 9 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi7wins
AwayVasyliev3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMaslovskyi leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyi85.7%6 of 7
AwayVasyliev66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi7Vasyliev3n = 10Maslovskyi took 7 of 10
S2Maslovskyi6Vasyliev4n = 10Maslovskyi took 6 of 10
S3Maslovskyi6Vasyliev4n = 10Maslovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Maslovskyi5Vasyliev2n = 7Maslovskyi took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiVasylievM − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.533.4+6.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiVasylievBasisWin rate · lifetime441 / 875 vs 72 / 15750.4%45.9%441 / 875 vs 72 / 157Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MaslovskyiMaslovskyi 1.53/Vasyliev 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Maslovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vasyliev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 4 · 15:55O. Maslovskyi48118711113V. Vasyliev4461111792
WAug 17 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi3741111113V. Vasyliev32118851
WAug 16 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi4112711113V. Vasyliev381011891
WAug 9 · 12:25O. Maslovskyi47121014113V. Vasyliev4210121281
WAug 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi341211113V. Vasyliev2010640
WAug 2 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi341112113V. Vasyliev2261060
LJul 6 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi4691261182V. Vasyliev461110113113
WJul 5 · 15:55O. Maslovskyi331111113V. Vasyliev146170
LJun 29 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi3971110111V. Vasyliev3911312133
LJun 28 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi36119881V. Vasyliev3741111113
O. Maslovskyi10
WOct 5 · 08:55V. Salivonchyk1.5751140O. Maslovskyi2.251113113LOct 5 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi3.50121060O. Maksymkiv1.281412113WOct 5 · 06:55H. Oliynyk1.733980O. Maslovskyi2.001111113LOct 5 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.7311116952O. Melnik2.00381111113WOct 4 · 17:55V. Salivonchyk1.5311116462O. Maslovskyi2.38761111113WOct 4 · 16:55O. Maslovskyi1.801111113O. Melnik1.919540WOct 4 · 15:55O. Maslovskyi1.57118711113V. Vasyliev2.2561111792LOct 4 · 14:25O. Maslovskyi2.7581050M. Dunas1.401112113WOct 4 · 12:25O. Maslovskyi5.50851113113O. Maksymkiv1.13111181132WOct 2 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi2.38131311123H. Oliynyk1.5315113101
V. Vasyliev10
LOct 5 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.501011117113V. Vasyliev2.5012731182WOct 5 · 08:25H. Oliynyk1.807850V. Vasyliev1.911111113LOct 5 · 06:25O. Melnik1.571111113V. Vasyliev2.257830LOct 5 · 04:25V. Salivonchyk1.83311811113V. Vasyliev1.8311611562LOct 4 · 18:25M. Dunas1.36121211123V. Vasyliev3.0010145101LOct 4 · 17:25O. Maksymkiv1.5011129113V. Vasyliev2.506101181LOct 4 · 15:55O. Maslovskyi1.57118711113V. Vasyliev2.2561111792LOct 4 · 13:55O. Melnik1.67129711113V. Vasyliev2.10101111992WOct 4 · 11:55V. Salivonchyk1.731011461V. Vasyliev2.0012811113WAug 17 · 11:25O. Maksymkiv1.36119941V. Vasyliev3.0061111113
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